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	<title>Citizen Economists &#187; trade</title>
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		<title>Redistributing Wealth</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2012/02/03/redistributing-wealth/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2012/02/03/redistributing-wealth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 17:35:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[force]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[socialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[voluntary exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wealth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wealth redistribution]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=10892</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In an axiomatic sense, wealth is always distributed in some way. Likewise, any transfer or exchange of wealth is a redistribution of wealth.</p> <p>Redistribution of wealth comes in two forms: coercive and voluntary. The former method of redistribution is associated with socialism and, more generally, any statist attempt at transferring the goods or wealth <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2012/02/03/redistributing-wealth/">Redistributing Wealth</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In an axiomatic sense, wealth is always distributed in some way.<span> </span>Likewise, any transfer or exchange of wealth is a redistribution of wealth.</p>
<p>Redistribution of wealth comes in two forms:<span> </span>coercive and voluntary.<span> </span>The former method of redistribution is associated with socialism and, more generally, any statist attempt at transferring the goods or wealth of an individual or group to another individual or group.<span> </span>The latter method of redistribution is associated with capitalism and, more generally, any form of voluntary exchange.</p>
<p>It is obvious, then, that wealth is continuously redistributed.<span> </span>People constantly desire to trade some portion of what they have for something else they desire more.<span> </span>Thus, redistribution of wealth occurs in the free market, and often occurs via the mechanism of exchange. However, there are some instances when wealth is redistributed freely, such as when a parent provides for his child in exchange for nothing.<span> </span>More generally, though, the redistribution of wealth in a free society usually requires exchange.</p>
<p>Therefore, what those who clamor for the redistribution of wealth actually desire is an option to acquire wealth by force in exchange for nothing.<span> </span>They may not be inherently opposed to trade, nor may they be totally desirous of charity—particularly if that charity has behavioral strings attached.<span> </span>Rather, they simply desire to have the option to have wealth redistributed to them without having to offer anything in exchange.</p>
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		<title>MF Global and HSBC case</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/12/13/mf-global-and-hsbc-case/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/12/13/mf-global-and-hsbc-case/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 17:40:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bron Suchecki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bankruptcy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fraud]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[litigation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MF Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=10117</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As usual, Zero Hedge and others hype a story way beyond the reality (see here for the Bloomberg story), such as: ZH: &#8221;is whether or not MF Global was rehypothecating (there is that word again), or lending, or repoing, or whatever you want to call it, that one physical asset that it should not have been <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/12/13/mf-global-and-hsbc-case/">MF Global and HSBC case</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>As usual, Zero Hedge and others hype a story way beyond the reality (see here for the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-09/hsbc-sues-mf-global-brokerage-over-stored-gold-silver-bars-1-.html">Bloomberg story</a>), such as:</div>
<div></div>
<div><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/gold-rehypotecation-unwind-begins-hsbc-sues-mf-global-over-disputed-ownership-physical-gold">ZH</a>: &#8221;is whether or not MF Global was rehypothecating (there is that word again), or lending, or repoing, or whatever you want to call it, that one <strong>physical</strong> asset that it should not have been transferring ownership rights to under any circumstances.&#8221;</div>
<div><a href="http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/3111/three-get-ready">TF</a>: &#8220;A lawsuit such as this one could easily bring about the total destruction of the Comex/LBMA-based, fractional bullion banking system&#8221;</div>
<div></div>
<div>Here is a suggestion, read the actual <a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/75288409/HSBC-Bank-USA-National-Assoc-v-MF-Global-Inc-NYSD-Bankruptcy-Ct-11-02790-8-Dec-2011-Doc-1-INTERPLEADER-COMPLAINT">Interpleader Complaint</a> for the facts:</div>
<div></div>
<div>1. Mr. Fane and MFGI entered into five COMEX gold contracts and three COMEX silver contracts relating to the Property. HSBC is the depository for the Property pursuant to a certain Gold Delivery Point Agreement and a certain Silver Delivery Point Agreement entered into between HSBC and the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.</div>
<div>2. By e-mail dated October 25, 2011, MFGI notified HSBC that &#8220;MF Global’s customer Mr. Fane would like to take possession of [the Property] and move [the Property] to his account at Brinks (sic). I have already canceled for load out. Customer will advise of date and time.”</div>
<div>3. Mr. Fane did not contact HSBC to request that the Property be transferred to his account at Brink’s prior to the Commencement Date.</div>
<div>4. By letter dated November 18, 2011, HSBC, through its undersigned counsel, notified the Trustee that it had possession of the Property. HSBC also notified the Trustee, in light of HSBC having received instructions from MFGI prior to the Commencement Date to transfer the property to Mr. Fane upon his request, that HSBC would act in accordance with MFGI’s prior instructions barring an injunction or contrary instructions from the Trustee.</div>
<div>5. By letter dated November 21, 2011, Mr. Fane requested that HSBC transfer the Property to his account at Brink’s.</div>
<div>6. By letter dated November 22, 2011, the Trustee, through his counsel, asserted to HSBC that the Property constitutes customer property under Part 190 Regulations of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and that the treatment of the Property must be administered by the Trustee. The Trustee further instructed HSBC not to release the Property to Mr. Fane.</div>
<div>7. By letter dated November 22, 2011, HSBC notified Mr. Fane that the Trustee had instructed HSBC not to release the Property to him and that the Trustee asserted an interest in and claim to the Property.</div>
<div>Not being a lawyer, I read this as &#8220;before you went bankrupt, you said I could have my metal&#8221;, &#8220;yeah, well, you didn&#8217;t take it before I went bankrupt, so it is now part of the bankruptcy proceedings&#8221;.</div>
<div>So no rehypothecation or loaning, no &#8220;suing&#8221; by HSBC, no stealing or counterfeiting of the bars and certainly not the total destruction of bullion banking. Just another lesson in counterparty exposure and possession is nine tenths of the law.</div>
<div><img src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/619af_6089228851855763774-4542334040835277849?l=goldchat.blogspot.com" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></div>
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		<title>Pakistan, India, MFN: What are the implications?</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/11/03/pakistan-india-mfn-what-are-the-implications/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/11/03/pakistan-india-mfn-what-are-the-implications/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Nov 2011 14:02:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ajay Shah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shipping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=9642</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For once, I am pleased at how India played it: India gave Pakistan MFN status way back, in 1996, without getting into the silliness of reciprocity. A hallmark of professional competence in international trade is the idea of unilateral liberalisation: Even if another country is silly enough to have barriers against us, we should <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/11/03/pakistan-india-mfn-what-are-the-implications/">Pakistan, India, MFN: What are the implications?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="ltr">For once, I am pleased at how India played it: India gave Pakistan MFN status way back, in 1996, without getting into the silliness of reciprocity. A hallmark of professional competence in international trade is the idea of unilateral liberalisation: Even if another country is silly enough to have barriers against us, we should not have trade barriers against them. Removing barriers against India&#8217;s globalisation is a favour to <em>us</em>, regardless of what it does to anyone else. India often gets into <em>cul de sac</em>s by obsessing on reciprocity &#8211; e.g. we won&#8217;t open up to imports of agricultural products because the Europeans won&#8217;t. We won&#8217;t allow foreign banks to operate in India because some other countries have barriers against the operations of Indian banks. And so on. But for once, in this case, our guys seem to have played it right (and way back in 1996, too!).</p>
<p>And now, we have a nice next step: <a href="http://www.indianexpress.com/news/pakistan-grants-india-most-favoured-nation-trade-status/869714/0">Pakistan will give India MFN status</a>. What might happen next? Here are some conjectures:</p>
<ol>
<li>At present, there <em>is</em> significant Indo-Pak trade; it merely gets routed through Dubai. Once Pakistan gives India MFN status, the <em>entrepot</em> trade that was going Bombay -&gt; Dubai -&gt; Karachi will go Bombay -&gt; Karachi. This is bad news for Dubai and for individuals and firms which are invested in the future of Dubai as an <em>entrepot</em> centre. Trade data should show a fairly sharp decline in India&#8217;s exports to UAE and a fairly sharp rise in India&#8217;s exports to Pakistan.</li>
<li>There will be a boom in shipping, communication and trade serving the direct Bombay -&gt; Karachi route. Similarly, the ports of Gujarat will do a lot of business directly to Karachi.</li>
<li>At first blush, little changes: the goods that used to go via Dubai would now go directly to Karachi. But a recurring theme in economics is the extent to which apparently small frictions loom large. The removal of fairly modest frictions matters a <em>lot</em> for business activity. So when the cost of shipping goes down by roughly 3x, even though the cost of shipping may be small in absolute terms, this would have a big impact on trade. Another dimension of cost is the cost of the middleman in Dubai. The establishment cost of this middleman in Dubai would be eliminated.</li>
<li>Important dynamics will now set in amidst firms in Pakistan. Firms that compete with exports from India will suffer. Firms that consume imported inputs from India will thrive. Creative destruction will take place; resources will shift from one group of firms to another. Exporters will be better able to export to India, both because of access to cheaper labour and capital that&#8217;s freed up by firms that die owing to import competition, and because of improved competitiveness that comes from cheaper raw materials. Exports from Pakistan to India will go up significantly.</li>
<li>Large Indian and Pakistani corporations will look much more seriously at the opportunities that lie just beyond the national border. Over time, human capacities and human networks will build up on both sides, supporting cross-border operations. This will take time to ripen, but when it does, the effects will be large. A huge fraction of global trade is intra-firm trade, so it&#8217;s very important to have large firms of both countries having operations in both countries, in order to get growth of trade.</li>
<li>The biggest gains in India will be in Gujarat, given the myriad ports in Gujarat which are a short distance away from Pakistan. But in the future, if road and rail links open up, then there are big opportunities in Punjab also. Wouldn&#8217;t it be nice to have a NHAI style road running from Ahmedabad to Karachi, and from Amritsar to Lahore?</li>
</ol>
<div>To the extent that we&#8217;re merely rerouting trade, bypassing Dubai, this will impose no new stress on ports and airports in Pakistan. But to the extent that new trade is created &#8211; as I expect it will (and as argued above) &#8211; then new work will be required in Pakistan on enhancing the capacity of ports and airports. I would personally be surprised if the effects are not large.</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>In the intuition of economists, there is a gravity model in the affairs of men. Proximity and low transactions costs are incredibly important. The natural opportunity for India to grow international integration on all dimensions (goods, services, people, ideas, capital) lies in our immediate neighbourhood. India&#8217;s connections into the region are shockingly below those seen for all other large countries. Doing better on connections with Pakistan would be a nice step forward.</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>Consider a product like cement, which is ordinarily considered a non-tradeable. Transportation of cement is so hard, there isn&#8217;t a unified national market in India. There are a series of regional markets. But even in this, modifications of transportation have mattered greatly. E.g. when <a href="http://www.business-beacon.com/kommon/bin/sr.php?kall=wcos&amp;cocode=86607&amp;type=s&amp;tab=1010">Gujarat Ambuja</a> came up with the innovation (back in the mid 1990s) of sending cement from Saurashtra to Bombay, by sea, this was a very big deal. By that same logic, cement from the coast of Saurashtra can go to Pakistan (or vice versa, depending on who produces at a lower price).</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>We should not see trade in goods in isolation. All dimensions of globalisation are intimately connected to each other. To do more trade in goods and services, we need more movement of people. Ergo, the silly visa restrictions that both countries impose on each other need to be eased. Finance follows trade: So where trade in goods and services leads the way, bigger financial integration will inevitably follow with trade financing, cross-border banking, payments, purchases of information, operations of multinationals and FDI, INR/PKR currency risk management, and investment flows. More will need to be done on investment guarantees, export/import trade financing, etc.</div>
</div>
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		<title>Reining in the inflationary dragon</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/10/18/reining-in-the-inflationary-dragon/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/10/18/reining-in-the-inflationary-dragon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Oct 2011 19:30:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ajay Shah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[supply]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tariffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=9439</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A lot is being written about inflation in India today. I thought it&#8217;s worth writing about the fascinating insights into inflation that come from focusing on the distinction between tradeables and non-tradeables.</p> What is a tradeable <p>A tradeable is a product which can be transported across the world at relatively low cost. As an <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/10/18/reining-in-the-inflationary-dragon/">Reining in the inflationary dragon</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="ltr">A lot is being written about inflation in India today. I thought it&#8217;s worth writing about the fascinating insights into inflation that come from focusing on the distinction between tradeables and non-tradeables.</p>
<h3>What is a tradeable</h3>
<p>A tradeable is a product which can be transported across the world at relatively low cost. As an example, steel is tradeable while cement or paint are mostly non-tradeable barring special short-hop opportunities like Gujarat-Karachi or Amritsar-Lahore or Calcutta-Chittagong or Trivandrum-Colombo.</p>
<p>Steel is a nice tradeable that one can think clearly about. There are no barriers to the movement of steel worldwide. Hence, there is only a world price of steel. The quoting convention used worldwide is to express the price of steel in USD. The price of steel in India is thus the world price of steel multiplied by the INR/USD exchange rate, plus a markup for freight (The cif/fob ratio).</p>
<p>If there is a customs duty of (say) 10%, then the price of steel in India is 1.1 times the world price of steel expressed in rupees. For the rest, nothing changes when a customs duty is introduced. Gram for gram, every fluctuation in the INR/USD or the world price of steel shows up in the domestic price of steel.</p>
<p>Non-tradeables are things like cement (which are hard to transport) or haircuts (which are impossible to transport).</p>
<h3>Measurement</h3>
<p>Before we can analyse and control inflation, we must measure it well. Inflation is defined as the rise in the price of the average household consumption basket. The <a href="http://nipfp.blogspot.com/2011/02/how-to-measure-inflation-in-india.html">CPI is the best measure of inflation in India</a>.</p>
<p>Everything in the CPI basket can be classified into the two categories: tradeable vs. non-tradeable. As a thumb rule, WPI non-food non-fuel is a rough measure of tradeables inflation. Fluctuations in food and services prices, which make the CPI diverge away from WPI non-food non-fuel, are a measure of non-tradeables.</p>
<p>Year-on-year inflation reflects an averaging over 12 months. If you want to get a faster sense of what is going on, you need to look at <a href="http://nipfp.blogspot.com/2008/08/early-warnings-of-inflation-in-india.html">point-on-point seasonally adjusted changes</a>. These yield early warnings of inflation, which are 5.5 months ahead on average. Such data is <a href="http://www.mayin.org/cycle.in/">updated every Monday by us</a>. The shift from y-o-y inflation, to p-o-p SA inflation, is a free lunch in measurement and monitoring.</p>
<p>The WPI is a useful database of many price time-series in India. But the overall WPI is useless in thinking about inflation in India: there is no household in India which consumes the WPI basket.</p>
<p>The use of WPI inflation, and the exclusive use of y-o-y inflation, are litmus tests of professional competence in the Indian landscape.</p>
<h3>The function of the central bank</h3>
<p>The job of RBI is to deliver low and stable inflation: to deliver y-o-y CPI inflation of between 4 to 5 per cent.</p>
<p>They have failed in this task. From February 2006 onwards, in every single month, y-o-y CPI inflation has exceeded 5 per cent. This is an important time for introspection at RBI and outside it. What have we done wrong, in the structuring of RBI, which has got us into this mess?</p>
<p>It is useful to think of this as a principal-agent problem. The people of India are the principal. RBI is the agent. The principal hires the agent and gives him resources. In return, the agent has to be held accountable. Delivering low and stable inflation is the accountability mechanism. It is a quantitative monitorable measure of the performance of the central bank. That we have sustained failure on this function, from February 2006 onwards, suggests that we should be modifying the nature of the contract between the principal (the people of India) and the agent (RBI).</p>
<h3>How RBI can influence the price of tradeables</h3>
<p>RBI has absolutely no say on the world price of steel. In that sense, the prices of tradeables are beyond the control of RBI.</p>
<p>When RBI raises the interest rate, more capital comes into India, which tends to give an INR appreciation, thus making tradeables cheaper. Thus, <a href="http://nipfp.blogspot.com/2011/01/monetary-policy-transmission-in.html">an RBI rate hike does impact upon the domestic price of tradeables</a>.</p>
<p>It is also worth pointing out that the central banks of most major countries are high quality inflation targeters. They deliver on their mandate of delivering low and stable inflation. As a consequence, inflation in the global tradeables basket tends to be low and stable. Tradeables prices are a helpful source of price stability, most of the time.</p>
<p>(That a large part of the CPI basket is tradeable, and seemingly beyond the control of the central bank, is no excuse. There are dozens of high quality central banks visible in the world, with very large shares of the CPI basket in tradeables, who are delivering on inflation targets. We in India should not accept excuses).</p>
<h3>How RBI can influence the price of non-tradeables</h3>
<p>Non-tradeables reflect aggregate demand and aggregate supply in India. RBI can influence these by raising or lowering the short-term interest rate. When interest rates are made slightly higher, household consumption and investment demand are slightly lowered.</p>
<p>A critical feature of non-tradeables inflation is expectations. If people expect 10% inflation, they tend to wire high price rises into their negotiation of wage and other contracts. This generates inflationary momentum. Particularly in a place like India, where the institutional structure of monetary policy is primitive, economic agents have little confidence in the ability of policy makers to rein in inflation. As a consequence, inflation is highly persistent. Once high inflation sets in, economic agents expect high inflation to continue. There is a great deal of momentum in inflation.</p>
<p>For years now, some economists have argued that inflation will subside by itself. It will not. Inflation does not mean-revert to the target zone of 4 to 5 per cent by itself. We are now in a trap of high inflationary expectations. This structure of expectations will need to be broken. This can happen in two ways. RBI needs to turn a new coat, and convince people that it now cares about inflation without any other conflicts of interest. And, rate hikes have to take place.</p>
<p>There are two paths to inflation control: changing the structure of expectations and reducing aggregate demand. The former is almost a free lunch. It only requires institutional change. The latter is hard work; it inflicts pain.</p>
<h3>What about supply factors?</h3>
<p>Some argue that supply bottlenecks in India &#8211; such as hideous rules about <em>mandi</em>s &#8211; are the cause of inflation.</p>
<p>The trouble with this explanation is that the supply bottlenecks have <em>always</em> existed. They have existed in high inflation times and in low inflation times. It is, thus, not possible to claim that supply bottlenecks have caused the inflation crisis which began in February 2006.</p>
<h3>Can rate hikes deliver inflation control?</h3>
<p>When C. Rangarajan was RBI governor, there was an inflation crisis, and rate hikes did deliver on inflation control. The phase of price stability ushered in then lasted all the way till February 2006. This shows us that even in India, it can be done.</p>
<p>We have to remember that in his time, the monetary policy transmission was much weaker than what we see today. With a bigger wall of capital controls, domestic rate hikes did not deliver inflation control by impacting on the INR (through higher capital inflows). With a smaller and weaker Bond-Currency-Derivatives Nexus, the monetary policy transmission from the short rate into aggregate demand was inferior, then. Yet, he got it done.</p>
<p>Conversely, with a very primitive financial system and monetary policy transmission, the central bank of Zimbabwe delivered a nice hyperinflation. We can quibble about the potency of the monetary policy transmission, but we should not doubt the ultimate domination of monetary policy in shaping inflation. In the long run, little else matters in shaping inflation.</p>
<p>Part of the story of the 1990s lies in clarity of purpose at RBI and policy credibility. Rangarajan&#8217;s period had good quality speeches, which did not dilute the message on inflation control as the dharma of the central bank. In contrast, in recent times, <a href="http://ajayshahblog.blogspot.com/2011/05/slamming-accelerator-while-hitting.html">RBI has repeatedly written low quality speeches</a>. To an expert reader, they have conveyed the lack of knowledge on monetary economics at RBI. To the non-expert reader, they have waffled on the subject of taking responsibility, and have encouraged the average economic agent to think that high inflation is here to stay.</div>
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		<title>Book Review: Pop Internationalism by Paul Krugman</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/09/09/book-review-pop-internationalism-by-paul-krugman/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/09/09/book-review-pop-internationalism-by-paul-krugman/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Sep 2011 19:50:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[competitiveness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deregulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Krugman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=9055</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I give up.</p> <p>I have tried reading Krugman for several years but I just can’t do it.  I picked up Return of Depression Economics when I was a junior in high school, but I couldn’t finish it.  I use to subscribe to his blog, but I simply found him impossible to read on a <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/09/09/book-review-pop-internationalism-by-paul-krugman/">Book Review: Pop Internationalism by Paul Krugman</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>I give up.</p>
<p>I have tried reading Krugman for several years but I just can’t do it.  I picked up Return of Depression Economics when I was a junior in high school, but I couldn’t finish it.  I use to subscribe to his blog, but I simply found him impossible to read on a daily basis.  I couldn’t even finish Pop Internationalism.</p>
<p>The biggest problem I have with Krugman is that he gets too caught up in his own perceived brilliance, and he has a tendency to become quite smug and condescending.  This usually becomes a problem because he isn’t often right, so reading him just makes me want to find him and then punch him dead in the face.  Arrogance is only amusing when you’re right.</p>
<p>Anyhow, Pop Internationalism isn’t all bad; Krugman manages to make a couple of good points.  They’re mostly contained in the first four chapters, so if you do eventually feel like reading this book, you needn’t bother reading beyond chapter five.</p>
<p>In the first place, Krugman is correct in noting that countries are not corporations, nor are they comparable to corporations, at least in terms of competitiveness.  The idea that the United States “competes” with Japan (or Germany or Britain or etc.) is a rather strange notion, and a fallacious one to boot.   Trade is not necessarily win-lose, which, come to think of it, sounds quite strange coming from Krugman.  As such, trading with Japan isn’t an inherently destructive behavior.  However, it is possible that trade can have negative consequences.  It should simply be noted that trade is neither inherently good nor inherently bad.  It can be either.</p>
<p>In the second place, Krugman correctly notes that, accepting the concept of competitiveness for sake of argument, a nation’s ability to compete in the global market is more closely tied to domestic production policy instead of foreign trade policy.  Stated more clearly, taxes and regulations play a larger role in international competitiveness than do tariffs and trade agreements.  As such, the proper policy prescription for encouraging competitiveness in the global marketplace is deregulation and corporate tax cuts.</p>
<p>Overall, Pop Internationalism starts with a bit of a bang, then dissolves into self-congratulatory mental masturbation.  The first couple of chapters are thoughtful and thought-provoking, but everything after that is nauseatingly narcissistic.  Read at your own peril.</p></div>
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		<title>Was the Industrial Revolution caused by Bourgeois Dignity or Institutional Change?</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/12/23/was-the-industrial-revolution-caused-by-bourgeois-dignity-or-institutional-change/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/12/23/was-the-industrial-revolution-caused-by-bourgeois-dignity-or-institutional-change/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Dec 2010 16:54:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Winton Bates</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[class struggle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[identity economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial revolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[personal identity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[specialization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=6026</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Most of Deidre McCloskey’s important new book serves to establish that if we want to explain the industrial revolution we need to explain why so much innovation occurred in England from the late 18th century and through the 19th century. She suggests that we should dismiss attempts to explain the industrial revolution in terms <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/12/23/was-the-industrial-revolution-caused-by-bourgeois-dignity-or-institutional-change/">Was the Industrial Revolution caused by Bourgeois Dignity or Institutional Change?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span><img style="border-bottom: medium none;border-left: medium none;border-right: medium none;border-top: medium none;margin: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px !important;padding-left: 0px !important;padding-right: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important" src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/66a09_ir?t=freedandflour-20&amp;l=bil&amp;camp=213689&amp;creative=392969&amp;o=1&amp;a=0226556654" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></span>Most of Deidre McCloskey’s important new book serves to establish that if we want to explain the industrial revolution we need to explain why so much innovation occurred in England from the late 18th century and through the 19th century. She suggests that we should dismiss attempts to explain the industrial revolution in terms of such factors as thrift, accumulation of capital (physical or human), transport, geography, natural resources, the slave trade, business organization, imperialism, eugenics and even foreign trade.</p>
<div>The style of the exposition suggests, at times, that Deidre may not suffer fools gladly (or has a wicked sense of humour): <span>‘If someone claims that foreign trade made possible, say, economies of scale in cotton textiles or shipping services she owes it to her readers (as I have already said twice: I wish you would pay attention) to explain why the gains on the swings are not lost on the roundabouts. Why do not the industries made smaller by the large extension of British foreign trade end up on the negative side of the account?’</span> (p 221).</div>
<p>Well, I’m not sure Deidre, perhaps there is a link between international trade, specialization and scale economies &#8211; but you may have discussed that possibility somewhere else in the book when I wasn’t paying attention. In any case, I agree with you that innovation must have been a lot more important than scale economies.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Bourgeois-Dignity-Economics-Explain-Modern/dp/0226556654?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=freedandflour-20&amp;link_code=bil&amp;camp=213689&amp;creative=392969" target="_blank"><img src="http://ws.amazon.com/widgets/q?MarketPlace=US&amp;ServiceVersion=20070822&amp;ID=AsinImage&amp;WS=1&amp;Format=_SL160_&amp;ASIN=0226556654&amp;tag=freedandflour-20" alt="Bourgeois Dignity: Why Economics Can't Explain the Modern World" width="214" height="320" /></a></p>
<p>I was a little more concerned that I didn’t see any recognition of the possibility, as discussed in Eric Jones’ recent book (reviewed <a href="http://wintonbates.blogspot.com/2010/12/can-industrial-revolution-be-attributed.html">here</a>), that clustering of manufacturing in the north of England – as a result of trade and specialization within England &#8211; provided an economic environment conducive to subsequent innovations. Perhaps middle class enrichment resulting from trade and specialization could also help to explain why the bourgeois revaluation occurred when and where it did. (The bourgeois revaluation is the greater approval of the middle classes &#8211; and of innovation and markets &#8211; that began to occur in thought and talk in Holland and England three centuries ago.)</p>
<p>My main concern, Deidre, is that in attempting to clear the field prior to sowing a new crop of ideas (or the old ideas you want to propagate anew) you may be inadvertently slashing and burning some other ideas that are worth preserving. This applies, in particular, to the relationship between institutional change and economic performance as discussed by Douglass North (‘Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance’, 1990). I agree with you that North could not have been correct in attributing the industrial revolution to more secure property rights following the Glorious Revolution. There is, however, more to institutional change than more secure property rights. I reject your attempt to dismiss appeals to institutional change as ‘still another attempt to reduce one of the greatest surprises in human history to a materialist routine’ and to claim that changes in institutions did not have much to do with the industrial revolution (p. 354).</p>
<p>In fact, evidence that you cite in your book seems to conflict with your claim that changes in institutions – the rules of the game &#8211; had little to do with the industrial revolution. You acknowledge that ‘the norms of antibourgeois aristocrats and clerics did discourage innovation’ (p. 267). You also suggest: ‘Had the Ottoman or the Qing empires or the Japanese Shogunate admired trade and innovation sufficiently to overcome their worries about the maintenance of state power – encouraging innovation and having a go rather than crushing it – then they, not the Europeans, would have come first’ (p. 371). You note that in France and Spain in the 18th century a nobleman caught engaging in commerce could be stripped on his rank’ (p. 387) and that in France it was necessary to apply to the state for permission to open a factory (p. 395).</p>
<p>I think your true position may be that bourgeois dignity and institutions (economic freedom) are both important in explaining the industrial revolution. This comes through fairly clearly when you write: ‘<span>By adopting the respect for deal-making and innovation and the liberty to carry out the deals that Amsterdam and London pioneered around 1700, the modern world was born’</span> (p. 397). In such passages you seem to be offering an encompassing theory incorporating both bourgeois dignity and institutional change.</p>
<p>So far so good. I can understand that ideology (an amalgam of perceptions and values) influences the climate of opinion toward commerce and innovation which in turn influences both informal institutions (conventions and codes of behaviour) and formal institutions (regulations, laws, constitutions) which may or may not provide a climate conducive to innovation. Is that all there is to understand?</p>
<p>Perhaps not. The missing element is a sense of personal identity. As you say: <span>‘In truth, the agent wants to act because she attributes meaning to her life &#8230; She is a human with an identity, not a Max U calculating machine like grass or bacteria or rats’</span> (p. 307).</p>
<p>That gets me thinking again about identity economics – the idea of George Akerlof and Rachel Kranton that people gain utility when their actions conform to the norms and ideals of their identity (which I first discussed <a href="http://wintonbates.blogspot.com/2010/04/does-identity-economics-predict.html">here</a>). Even a person with great potential to be innovative might find that difficult if the norms and ideals of their identity dictated that any attempt to innovate would be futile. If we start thinking in terms of identity economics, however, we might have to question the sub-title of your book – perhaps economics can explain the modern world after all.</p>
<div><img src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/21779_1089082204850170942-33696415154081250?l=wintonbates.blogspot.com" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></div>
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		<title>Without a Net: Compromise versus Calculation</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/11/26/blast-from-the-past-without-a-net-compromise-versus-calculation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/11/26/blast-from-the-past-without-a-net-compromise-versus-calculation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Nov 2010 20:02:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas Knapp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics and Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[compromise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freedom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[libertarianism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=5567</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ INTRODUCTION: ORDER OF BATTLE If we place the ongoing &#8220;purist&#8221;-&#8221;pragmatist&#8221; conflict within the libertarian movement under a metaphorical microscope, it immediately becomes apparent that what we&#8217;re looking at is not one conflict, but rather a bundle of conflicts composed of numerous intertwined disputes with overlapping intra-movement constituencies for particular outcomes. While the movement <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/11/26/blast-from-the-past-without-a-net-compromise-versus-calculation/">Without a Net: Compromise versus Calculation</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><strong><span> </span></strong><strong>INTRODUCTION: ORDER OF BATTLE</strong></div>
<div></div>
<div>If we place the ongoing &#8220;purist&#8221;-&#8221;pragmatist&#8221; conflict within the  libertarian movement under a metaphorical microscope, it immediately  becomes apparent that what we&#8217;re looking at is not one conflict, but  rather a <em>bundle</em> of conflicts composed of numerous intertwined  disputes with overlapping intra-movement constituencies for particular  outcomes. While the movement can be reasonably viewed as split between  overall &#8220;purist&#8221; and &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; camps, the vast &#8220;No Man&#8217;s Land&#8221;  between them is a constantly swirling milieu in which it&#8217;s not always  perfectly clear who is shooting at whom &#8212; or why. Various  constituencies raise their flags over specific coordinates and give  battle, hoping to temporarily claim some patch of territory for their  concern of the moment or, perhaps, to extend the lines of some larger  alliance to encompass more of the disputed field.</div>
<div>
<p>The hill upon which I intend to raise my flag &#8212; the banner of the  &#8220;purist&#8221; faction, broadly defined &#8212; in this paper encompasses the  notion of &#8220;incrementalism.&#8221; Whoever controls that hill in turn  overlooks, and may exploit, a key route across the plain of  &#8220;realpolitik.&#8221;</p>
<p><em>May</em>, I say, or <em>might</em>: The incrementalist high  ground has been occupied, for some time and without substantial  opposition, by &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; forces which have declined to actually sally  forth versus the state, preferring instead to simply occupy it, hold a  few grandiose parades on its slopes, and deny its use to &#8220;purists&#8221; who  might actually use it as a base from which to strike real blows for  liberty.</p>
<p>However, it&#8217;s come to my attention of late that the hill is only <em>weakly</em> occupied:</p>
<p>- Its garrison&#8217;s composition greatly resembles that of a Confederate  &#8220;home guard&#8221; militia regiment during the Late Unpleasantness, as  described by an inspecting general: &#8220;3 field officers, 4 staff officers,  10 captains, 30 lieutenants, and 1 private with a misery in his  bowels.&#8221; To put it bluntly, for all their guff about holding the heights  over the plain of realpolitik, the &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; have thus far proven  themselves signally unsuccessful, to an even greater degree than the  &#8220;purists&#8221; they disdain, at achieving political victories.</p>
<p>- The &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; garrison &#8212; which had at its disposal the heavy artillery of <em>genuine</em> incrementalism had it cared to use it &#8212; chose to mothball that  formidable weapon and instead field a lighter piece, of shorter range  and minimal power &#8212; one more suited to twirling, slapping and  shouldering at ceremonies held for the purpose of congratulating  themselves on their superior political acumen than for actual use in  battle. The popgun I refer to is, of course, &#8220;compromise.&#8221;</p>
<p>The hill is, in other words, ripe for a bayonet charge. It is  occupied by troops who are not interested in fighting, and who, if  forced to, have at their disposal a weapon guaranteed to fizzle half the  time and explode in its firer&#8217;s face the other half. It is the  &#8220;purists&#8221; &#8212; unabashed and uncompromising libertarians who may differ on  how far to go but who know <em>which way they&#8217;re going</em> &#8212; who have a rightful claim to, and know how best to exploit the advantages of, an incremental approach.</p>
<p>Forward, march.</p>
<p><strong>THE FIGHT THAT NEVER WAS: INCREMENTALISM VERSUS ABOLITIONISM</strong></p>
<p>Things are not always what they seem. For years, &#8220;pragmatist&#8221;  reformers in the libertarian movement have exercised a virtual monopoly  on advocacy of <em>incrementalism</em>, caricaturing &#8220;purist&#8221; <em>abolitionism</em> as its mutually exclusive opposite. Even a cursory examination of the  two concepts, however, reveals that this is not necessarily the case.</p>
<p><strong><em>Incrementalism</em></strong> involves setting (and  achieving) incremental goals &#8212; taking &#8220;baby steps&#8221; in one&#8217;s chosen  direction. Incrementalism is a proposed <em>means</em>.</p>
<p><strong><em>Abolitionism</em></strong> is the notion that wrongs  should be abolished rather than simply minimized (and, at the abstract  anarchist extreme &#8212; no insult intended, that happens to be where I live  myself &#8212; that <em>all</em> wrongs must be abolished in order for the abolitionist to claim victory). Abolition is a proposed <em>end</em> or set of ends.</p>
<p>It is certainly possible to conclude (and some &#8220;purists&#8221; do) that limiting issues advocacy to abolition, and <em>only</em> abolition, is an appropriate means (perhaps even the <em>only</em> appropriate means) to achieve abolitionist ends.</p>
<p>&#8220;Pragmatists,&#8221; in turn, have exploited the <em>possibility</em> of such a reification of abstract end into concrete means. By encouraging the erroneous conclusion that that reification is <em>universal within</em> and <em>necessary to</em> &#8220;purism,&#8221; they create two useful and reciprocally dependent misimpressions:</p>
<p>1) That incrementalist means are not available to &#8220;purists;&#8221; and</p>
<p>2) That incrementalist means are therefore only available to &#8220;pragmatists.&#8221;</p>
<p>The theory implied by these misimpressions disintegrates on  examination. I could fill a book with the documentary evidence of that  disintegration, but I don&#8217;t have to: Even one example of a theory&#8217;s  failure invalidates the theory. I&#8217;ll provide two:</p>
<p>- I consider the claim that Alan R. Weiss is a &#8220;purist&#8221; and an &#8220;abolitionist&#8221; to be indisputable. He describes himself as an <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.ncc-1776.org/tle2004/tle269-20040502-05.html" target="_blank">&#8220;anarcho-libertarian,&#8221;</a> he writes for &#8220;purist&#8221; publications including <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.rationalreview.com/" target="_blank">Rational Review</a> and <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.ncc-1776.org/" target="_blank">The Libertarian Enterprise</a>,  and he has a long record of continuous association with &#8220;purist&#8221;  associations and projects. In 2002, Weiss was elected to the Northwest  Austin (Texas) #1 Municipal Utility Board. During his tenure on that  board, he led a successful effort to reduce taxes associated with its  operations by 50%, and then resigned. In other words, he used  incremental means (seeking and gaining electoral office) to accomplish  an incremental objective (cutting a particular tax rather than  eliminating that tax or all all taxation), even though his strong  preference would have been, and his ultimate goal is, the elimination of  both the board to which he was elected and the retention by government  of that board&#8217;s powers.</p>
<p>- If you don&#8217;t think <em>I&#8217;m</em> a &#8220;purist&#8221; and an &#8220;abolitionist,&#8221;  then you haven&#8217;t been paying attention.  I have personally engaged in  incremental political action numerous times. I&#8217;d like to eliminate the  US government. Having so far been unable to figure out a way to do so, I  serve as an appointed member of a federal board so that I can affect  its operations in a pro-freedom way. I&#8217;d like to eliminate my city&#8217;s  government. Having so far been unable to figure out a way to do so, I  have personally managed two (winning) campaigns to keep one of its  public offices (city marshal) elected rather than appointed, and another  (winning) campaign to elect a person (Tamara Millay) to serve in that  office who discharged the duties of that office in a more  liberty-friendly way than others might have been expected to.</p>
<p>QED, incrementalist means are not only <em>available</em> to &#8220;purists&#8221; and &#8220;abolitionists,&#8221; but <em>used by them</em>, and are therefore not available only to &#8220;pragmatists.&#8221;</p>
<p>Sadly, this issue should never have required the current argument. The <em>de facto</em> &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; monopoly on incrementalism, and their use of it as an  anti-&#8221;purist&#8221; cudgel, has been made possible only by an inexplicable  &#8220;purist&#8221; reticence toward contesting the matter. Nearly 30 years ago (at  the latest!), &#8220;purist&#8221; icon Murray N. Rothbard &#8212; the bogeyman of the  &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; &#8212; was already explicitly endorsing incrementalism:</p>
<blockquote><p>[I]t is legitimate and proper to advocate transition demands as way-stations along the road to victory, <em>provided</em> that the ultimate goal of victory is always kept in mind and held  aloft. In this way the ultimate goal is clear and not lost sight of and  the pressure is kept on so that transitional or partial victories will  feed on themselves rather than appease or weaken the ultimate drive of  the movement. &#8212; <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.lprc.org/strategies.html" target="_blank">&#8220;Strategies for a Libertarian Victory,&#8221;</a> <em>Libertarian Review</em>, 1978</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Must the libertarian necessarily <em>confine</em> himself  to advocating immediate abolition? Are transitional demands, steps  toward liberty in practice, therefore illegitimate? Surely not, since  realistically there would then be no hope of achieving the final goal.  It is therefore incumbent upon the libertarian, eager to achieve his  goal as rapidly as possible, to push the polity ever further in the <em>direction</em> of that goal. Clearly, such a course is difficult, for the danger  always exists of losing sight of, or even undercutting, the ultimate  goal of liberty. But such a course, given the state of the world in the  past, present, and foreseeable future, is vital if the victory of  liberty is ever to be achieved. &#8212; <em>The Ethics of Liberty</em>, <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.mises.org/rothbard/ethics/thirty.asp" target="_blank">Part V: &#8220;Toward A Theory of Strategy For Liberty,&#8221;</a> 1982</p></blockquote>
<p>Not only do &#8220;purists&#8221; have a rightful claim to incrementalist means  but, as we shall see next, &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; have severely undermined their <em>own</em> claim to those means by attempting to smuggle other, unsupportable, means into play under the rubric of incrementalism.</p>
<p><strong>COMPROMISE: THE POVERTY OF PRAGMATISM</strong></p>
<p>As we&#8217;ve previously seen, there is no real, defensible &#8220;pragmatist&#8221;  monopoly on incrementalism. That the &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; have postured as the  possessors of such a monopoly raises the question of why they are so  interested in controlling the term and denying its use to &#8220;purists.&#8221;</p>
<p>The obvious answer is that incrementalism is a visibly worthy  political tool. Insofar as the &#8220;pragmatist&#8221;-&#8221;purist&#8221; feud manifests  itself in demonstrations (or at least protestations) of efficacy and  success with the intent of recruiting libertarian newcomers to one side  or the other, the side which can (even falsely) claim sole possession of  such a tool benefits.</p>
<p>That there are less obvious answers is, well, less obvious. However,  there&#8217;s good reason to believe that less obvious answers exist.</p>
<p>Assertion of a monopoly on incrementalism is simply not strictly  necessary for the purpose of demonstrating efficacy and success. Such a  purpose could be more effectively fulfilled by <em>using</em> incrementalism to build a record of electing public officials, winning  referendum votes, etc., and then stacking up the results versus those  achieved by the allegedly incrementalism-deprived &#8220;purists&#8221; for  comparison. The &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; have avoided any such comparison &#8212; not  only because it would explode their pretensions to a monopoly on  incrementalism but <em>because it would explode their implicit claim that they use incrementalism effectively, or for that matter at all</em>.</p>
<p>The &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; have effectively used incrementalism as an advocacy  cudgel in intra-movement disputes, but evidence that they&#8217;ve used it  in, um, &#8220;real politics&#8221; is sorely lacking. The &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; case for  primacy in the libertarian movement is a hodge-podge of horror stories  about &#8220;purist&#8221; failure and grandiose projects of <em>future</em> victories which can be achieved only after the &#8220;purists&#8221; have been swept  aside. What&#8217;s missing from that case is a portfolio of &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; <em>successes</em>: &#8220;We did this, and it <em>worked</em>.&#8221;</p>
<p>Why would a movement faction assert a (fake) monopoly on a tool it  doesn&#8217;t even use? Why would it insist, contrary to fact and evidence,  that its opponents <em>don&#8217;t</em> have that tool in their kit, even  though those opponents have visibly and successfully used the tool  numerous times? And why would it refuse to take that tool out of its own  kit and visibly use it to tighten some bolts or drive some nails?</p>
<p>The answer is that the &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; version of incrementalism is a  counterfeit tool. Its dark silhouette against the bottom of the toolbox  drawer looks, in form, like the genuine article. But when pulled out and  examined closely, it turns out to be a &#8220;drop-forged in Pakistan&#8221; fake.  Deep down inside (in their pockets, next to the receipt for $4.95), the  &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; know that <em>their</em> tool &#8212; compromise &#8212; won&#8217;t turn a  bolt. And they know that if they pull out their shoddy instrument and  hold it up next to the &#8220;purist&#8221; version, nobody who <em>wants</em> to turn a bolt will select theirs.</p>
<p>As defined above, incrementalism involves setting (and achieving)  incremental goals &#8212; taking &#8220;baby steps&#8221; in the right direction.</p>
<p>Compromise, on the other hand, involves trading steps in the <em>wrong</em> direction for other steps in the right direction.</p>
<p>When pressed, many &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; argue that incrementalism and  compromise are not only not mutually exclusive, but that they are  actually indispensable one to the other. Suspicion on this point is  natural, however, given the lengths of obfuscation to which the  &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; have gone in order to avoid reaching the issue.</p>
<p>That suspicion is well-founded &#8212; for, as I shall demonstrate below,  compromise destroys, rather than augments, the utility of  incrementalism. To put a finer point on it, the inclusion of compromise  as a <em>means</em> in libertarian strategy requires a radical <em>and un-quantifiable</em> re-definition of <em>ends</em>.</p>
<p><strong>COMPROMISE&#8217;S CALCULATION PROBLEM</strong></p>
<p>In the larger libertarian movement, the difficult question of  end-states is a constant topic of discussion. Anarchist and minarchist  factions do daily battle over the propriety of particular and general  long-term goals. As a <em>practical</em> matter, however, the discussion  has been framed in terms of &#8220;how to deal with a problem we&#8217;ll have to  deal with later.&#8221;</p>
<p>The anarchist who wants to abolish the state entirely  may disagree with the minarchist who wants to retain an ultra-minimal  &#8220;night watchman&#8221; state, but they are able to co-exist beneath the  &#8220;libertarian umbrella&#8221; because their goals are, for the most part, <em>commensurable</em>.  While the minarchist might only cut government&#8217;s size, scope or power  in a particular area by 80%, where the anarchist would cut it by 100%,  both agree that pretty much every function of government <em>should be slashed significantly</em>.</p>
<p>Even if we posit a bigger &#8220;libertarian umbrella&#8221; under which other,  additional groups might cluster, that commensurability is present. The  geolibertarian and the constitutionalist may make <em>exceptions</em> in that which they subject to &#8220;libertarian measurement,&#8221; but those exceptions are <em>defined</em> exceptions. The constitutionalist may advocate a specific level of  taxation for the specific purpose of &#8220;providing for the common defense.&#8221;  The geolibertarian may argue that a community &#8220;ground rent&#8221; is not  taxation as normally defined. And so on, and so forth.</p>
<p>These kinds of  exceptions may be problematic, and they may raise questions as to which  groups truly belong under the metaphorical umbrella or just exactly  which piece of ground falls or should fall under that umbrella&#8217;s shade.  What they don&#8217;t do, however, is make it impossible to answer those  questions.</p>
<p>When compromise is introduced into a libertarian strategy, however,  the quality of commensurability disappears, and with it the ability to  define any <em>particular end</em>, let alone any end-state, as compatible or incompatible with libertarianism <em>per se</em>. More specifically, the &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; justification for compromise relies on the adoption of <em>non-measurable</em> or <em>non-quantifiable</em> goals.</p>
<p>While pro-compromise &#8220;pragmatists&#8221; are understandably shy about  explaining their reasons for advocating something they don&#8217;t want to  admit they <em>are</em> advocating, some cues and clues are available.<br />
When &#8220;pragmatist&#8221; Brian Holtz states that he stands for <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://humanknowledge.net/Correspondence/Paul_Ireland/2005-02-15.htm" target="_blank">&#8220;minimizing the overall incidence of coercion&#8221;</a> or implicitly characterizes himself, in contrast to someone else, as advocating <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://blog.360.yahoo.com/knowinghumans?p=341" target="_blank">&#8220;the  policies and tactics that have the highest expected value in terms of  minimizing the net amount of aggression suffered by humanity,&#8221;</a> we should pay close attention to exactly what he&#8217;s saying.</p>
<p>Ditto when Carl Milsted, head of the <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.reformthelp.org/" target="_blank">Libertarian Reform Caucus</a>, asks <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.freeliberal.com/blog/archives/001836.php" target="_blank">&#8220;Why  should I never endorse an action that employing [sic] aggression even  it results in a substantial net reduction in aggression?&#8221;</a><br />
For the sake of uniformity, I&#8217;ll refer to the goal which Mr. Holtz  and Dr. Milsted implicitly hold out for adoption as &#8220;reduced overall net  aggression.&#8221; It&#8217;s a fine-sounding goal, and one to which an approach of  compromise lends itself well. Unfortunately, it&#8217;s also utterly  impossible in most cases to determine whether, or to what degree, such a  goal has been achieved.</p>
<p>Mr. Holtz, Dr. Milsted, meet Dr. Mises:</p>
<blockquote><p>Judgments of value do not measure; they merely establish  grades and scales. Even Robinson Crusoe, when he has to make a decision  where no ready judgment of value appears and where he has to construct  one upon the basis of a more or less exact estimate, cannot operate  solely with subjective use value, but must take into consideration the  intersubstitutability of goods on the basis of which he can then form  his estimates. In such circumstances it will be impossible for him to  refer all things back to one unit. Rather will he, so far as he can,  refer all the elements which have to be taken into account in forming  his estimate to those economic goods which can be apprehended by an  obvious judgment of value &#8212; that is to say, to goods of a lower order  and to pain-cost. That this is only possible in very simple conditions  is obvious. In the case of more complicated and more lengthy processes  of production it will, plainly, not answer. &#8212; Ludwig von Mises, <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.mises.org/econcalc.asp" target="_blank"><em>Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth</em></a>, 1920</p></blockquote>
<p>The notion of &#8220;reduced overall net aggression&#8221; requires a system for  classifying all of aggression&#8217;s varying forms into commensurable units.  It&#8217;s relatively non-controversial to assert that picking a pocket is  less onerous than assault, which is in turn less onerous than murder,  but unitizing these forms of aggression for bulk comparison is a  different story entirely.</p>
<p>Does it take 2.5 armed robberies to equal a rape, or 3.1?</p>
<p>Is the prevention of two murders a fair trade for 100 unreasonable searches?</p>
<p>Even when aggression is nominally measurable in known units, it&#8217;s not  necessarily true that the factor of aggression itself will be perceived  or valued in terms of those units.<br />
If I can reduce the taxes of Person A  by two dollars in trade for raising the taxes of Person B by only one  dollar, is that a net reduction in overall aggression? What if Person  A&#8217;s two dollars would otherwise have been spent on country club  initiation fees while Person B&#8217;s one dollar would have otherwise been  spent buying food for his starving child? Would the decrease in  aggression versus Person A truly be commensurate with the increase in  aggression versus Person B?</p>
<p>The value of a dollar may be uniform for  certain purposes, but it is highly subjective for most. Most people  would agree that stealing a piece of 18 holes on the golf course is less  onerous than stealing a baby&#8217;s bottle of milk, even if the dollar  values of the two say otherwise.</p>
<p>Even leaving such questions aside, precisely why should Person A  accept an obligation to be aggressed against more, so that Person B will  be aggressed against less, specious &#8220;overall net&#8221; claims  notwithstanding? Under what moral calculus should <em>anyone</em> be considered fair game for aggression in <em>any</em> amount?</p>
<p>The unitization problem only grows worse on a political scale: For  not only is it impossible to quantify the &#8220;amount&#8221; of Aggression X  versus that of Aggression Y on an individual basis, but American polity  deals with wholesale decisions which affect a population of 300 million  individuals (excluding those outside US borders, who may also be  affected).</p>
<p>The idea that some central &#8220;Pragmatic Libertarian Planning Board&#8221;  could accurately forecast aggregate increases and reductions in the  various forms of aggression spawned by particular policy compromises and  compare them to reveal which actions would produce &#8220;reduced overall net  aggression&#8221; is pure &#8230; well &#8230; I was going to say &#8220;science fiction,&#8221;  but no science fiction author I know would touch the idea with a  ten-foot pole. <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20060812084233/http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0671319825/rationalrev08-20" target="_blank">Sapient space-faring beer-drinking anarchist squid</a> are one thing, but there&#8217;s a limit to the suspension of disbelief.</p>
<p>The commensurable characteristic which unifies libertarianism, however narrowly or broadly defined, is <em>opposition to</em> &#8212; not <em>redistribution of</em> &#8212; aggression. Assuming the burden of aggression redistribution would  rip the fabric of the &#8220;libertarian umbrella.&#8221; Treating aggression as a  commensurable, tradeable commodity would mean that some factions would  be required to accept <em>increased</em> aggression on issues dear to them in order to &#8220;pay for&#8221; <em>decreased</em> aggression in areas held dear by other factions. No libertarian  coalition could  hold together under such stresses &#8212; it would fall to  pieces as soon as the compromisers &#8220;traded&#8221; an increase in the top tax  rate for legalization of marijuana, or vice versa, or whatever.</p>
<p>A single focus on <em>institutionalized</em> aggression, i.e. the aggression of the state, and a proposed solution of reducing &#8212; <em>never</em> in any case increasing &#8212; the ability of the state to aggress, are indispensable to the success (nay, the <em>survival</em>) of any broad-based libertarian political movement.</p>
<p>&#8220;Pragmatism&#8221; is popularly defined as an emphasis on that which  &#8220;works.&#8221; Compromise does not, and cannot, work in the context of a  libertarian political movement.</p></div>
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		<title>The Ley Lines of Globalization</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/10/25/the-ley-lines-of-globalization/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/10/25/the-ley-lines-of-globalization/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Oct 2010 18:35:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ethan Zuckerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[globalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shipping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=5324</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Six years ago, early in my tenure at Berkman, I wrote a blog post that tried to calculate the cost of shipping water from a bottling plant in Yaqara, Fiji to Cambridge, Massachusetts. I was interested in unpacking the everyday mystery of container shipping – how is it possible that we can sell a <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/10/25/the-ley-lines-of-globalization/">The Ley Lines of Globalization</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Six years ago, early in my tenure at Berkman, I wrote <a href="http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2004/10/13/around-the-world-for-010-per-kilo/">a blog post</a> that tried to calculate the cost of shipping water from a bottling plant in Yaqara, Fiji to Cambridge, Massachusetts. I was interested in unpacking the everyday mystery of container shipping – how is it possible that we can sell a product for a couple of dollars a bottle despite shipping it 8,000 miles around the world – and in the odd idea that atoms might be more mobile than bits, as we get lots more Fiji water in the US than Fijian music, movies or news.</p>
<p>My estimate then was that a 40′ container filled with Fiji water would cost roughly $5000 to deliver from Suva, Fiji to Cambridge – I came up with the estimate based on a variety of statistics about international shipping that I bent and welded into a Fiji/Massachusetts estimate. At $5000 a container and 24,000 kilograms per 40′ box, it would cost $0.21 for a liter bottle of Fiji water to make the 8,000 mile journey. Not free, but a small fraction of the retail price of a bottle of “premium” imported bottled water.</p>
<p>I had occasion to return to this blogpost today – I’m working on a book, and this Fiji example features in it. So I decided to recalcuate the numbers and see if I could find an answer that’s more defensible and satisfying.</p>
<p>Turns out I got a few details wrong. First, the 24,000kg figure applies to smaller, 20′ containers – the limit for 40-footers is 30,480kg. And the price from Suva to Cambridge for a 40′ container is just slightly higher – $5,540.30. That comes out to $0.18 per liter, three cents less than I calculated six years ago.</p>
<p>These new figures come from my new favorite toy, <a href="http://www.maerskline.com/appmanager/">Maersk’s online shipping rates calculator</a>. The Danish superfirm <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A._P._Moller-Maersk_Group">A.P. Møller – Mærsk Gruppen</a> is the largest shipping group in the world, with offices in 135 countries, 120,000 employees, and roughly 600 container ships, capable of carrying more than 2 million 20′ containers at any given time. They’ve also got a thoroughly badass IT system, which they’ve now made accessible to the general public.</p>
<p>Okay, it’s not exactly Amazon.com, or even Fedex. To use Maersk’s calculator, you need to register with the site, download a client browser certificate and accept three server certificates from Maersk before you can access their secure site. But once you do, it’s just a few short clicks before you can calculate the cost of shipping a 20′ container of “umbrellas, sun umbrellas, walking-sticks, seat-sticks, whips, riding-crops and parts thereof” (yes, that’s one of the available categories, along with “bone and meal”, “ores, slag and ash” and “straw, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Esparto">esparto</a>, other plaiting materials and articles of straw, esparto, other plaiting materials) from Auckland to Dubai: $2451.02</p>
<p>The main thing I’ve found playing with Maersk’s calendar: distance doesn’t matter as much as demand. Americans buy a lot of atoms from China. The Chinese don’t buy nearly as many from the US. A 40′ container filled with household goods, shipped from Shanghai to Houston, TX costs $6169.93. Reverse the trip and ship the same container from Houston to Shanghai and the cost is $3631.07. That’s because <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/29/business/worldbusiness/29iht-ships.html">60% of containers on ships coming from the US to China are empty</a>, which means Maersk and other shippers are desperate to sell container space.</p>
<p>(The 2006 New York Times article that offers that 60% empty container statistic suggests that lots of full containers are coming to China from raw-materials rich countries like Australia, Brazil and the Middle East. That suggests we should see the opposite pattern – expensive containers from Sao Paolo to Shanghai and cheap ones in the other direction. Nope. $5101.70 from Shanghai to Sao Paolo, $1930.59 in the other direction. Perhaps containers from China to Brazil are riding the same ships as those to the US and paying the same premiums?)</p>
<p><a href="http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/wp-content/2010/10/Screen-shot-2010-10-20-at-9.30.30-PM.png"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-3813" title="Screen shot 2010-10-20 at 9.30.30 PM" src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/294b4_Screen-shot-2010-10-20-at-9.30.30-PM-300x298.png" alt="" width="300" height="298" /></a><a href="http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/wp-content/2010/10/Screen-shot-2010-10-20-at-9.33.21-PM.png"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-3814" title="Screen shot 2010-10-20 at 9.33.21 PM" src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/294b4_Screen-shot-2010-10-20-at-9.33.21-PM-250x300.png" alt="" width="250" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>Maersk also offers a set of maps that help you get a sense for how these trade routes actually work. It’s a four day trip from Suva to Auckland on the Pacific Islands Express, and then the bottles of Fiji water are transfered to OC1, the Oceania Americas Service. The Pacific crossing is a long one – 18 days to the Panama Canal, a quick stop in Cartagena, and we’re in Philadephia 25 days out of Auckland. It’s a truck ride from Philly to Cambridge, and that short hop is responsible for $950 of the total transit cost.</p>
<p>As I poke through these maps, schedules and tariffs, I feel like I’m glimpsing a secret world. Part of it may come from the sheer poetry of the names. Shipping routes include “<a href="http://www.maerskline.com/link/?page=brochure&amp;path=/routemaps/newnetwork/Oceania/The_Boomerang">The Boomerang</a>” and the “<a href="http://www.maerskline.com/link/?page=brochure&amp;path=/routemaps/newnetwork/Oceania/The_South_China_Australia_Yo_Yo">The South China/Australia Yo-yo</a>” and connect ports like <a href="http://www.worldportsource.com/ports/NGA_Tin_Can_Island_Port_TCIP__1726.php">Tin Can Island</a> (Apapa, Nigeria, the main port for Lagos). And part comes from the sense that these routes and rates, the infrastructure that supports an economy where transPacific bottled water is possible, are the ley lines of globalization, radiating a mysterious and sinister power.</p>
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		<title>Deflation</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/03/18/deflation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/03/18/deflation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 17:53:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Russ Nelson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=3268</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve written about deflation twice before: Deflation and Deflation 2. Third time&#8217;s the charm?</p> <p>The common wisdom is that deflation of the currency is bad. When money deflates, it becomes more valuable, even when you do nothing. So the theory is that people won&#8217;t spend their money, because it will become ever-more valuable.</p> <p>That <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2010/03/18/deflation/">Deflation</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve written about deflation twice before: <a href="http://blog.russnelson.com/.draft/deflation.html">Deflation</a> and <a href="http://blog.russnelson.com/.draft/deflation-2.html">Deflation 2</a>. Third time&#8217;s the charm?</p>
<p>The common wisdom is that deflation of the currency is bad.  When money deflates, it becomes more valuable, even when you do nothing.  So the theory is that people won&#8217;t spend their money, because it will become ever-more valuable.</p>
<p>That theory cannot be true.</p>
<p>Look at the PC market over the last 30 years.  In each one of those years, the PC became more reliable, faster, came with more memory and storage.  The original MDA display was one color and text only.  The CGA had 16 colors and 640&#215;200 bits.  The price &#8212; of the computer you <em>really</em> want to have &#8212; has stayed constant, at about $5000.</p>
<p>If the story told about deflation was true, then you would always be better off delaying your purchase of a PC by 6 months.  You could be confident that the PC you would buy would be a more valuable PC.</p>
<p>Except &#8230; that people did that very rarely, if ever.  The standard advice was always &#8220;don&#8217;t wait to buy a computer, because there will <em>always </em>be a better computer on the horizon.&#8221;</p>
<p>So, in a situation where people can predict a constant stream of increase in value, people STILL made the trade.  Thus, I think it&#8217;s safe to predict that in a similar situation, where people could predict a constant increase in the value of their money, they would spend their money as needed.</p>
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		<title>Money, an Essentially Useless Substance?</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2009/07/06/money-an-essentially-useless-substance/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2009/07/06/money-an-essentially-useless-substance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2009 18:20:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bron Suchecki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[barter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiat currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=1478</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Dmitry Orlov recently posted an article titled Definancialisation, Deglobalisation, Relocalisation.</p> <p>For those not familiar with Dmitry, he is the author of Reinventing Collapse, which is all about &#8220;prepar[ing] for life without much money, where imported goods are scarce, and where people have to provide for their own needs, and those of their immediate neighbours.&#8221;</p> <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2009/07/06/money-an-essentially-useless-substance/">Money, an Essentially Useless Substance?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dmitry Orlov recently posted an article titled <a href="http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2009/06/definancialisation-deglobalisation.html">Definancialisation, Deglobalisation, Relocalisation</a>.</p>
<p>For those not familiar with Dmitry, he is the author of Reinventing Collapse, which is all about <em>&#8220;prepar[ing] for life without much money, where imported goods are scarce, and where people have to provide for their own needs, and those of their immediate neighbours.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>In this article, Dmitry has a go at money and suggests barter can do the job but then suggest this is probably a better solution:</p>
<p><em>One option is to organise as communities to produce certain goods that the entire community wants: food, clothing, shelter, security and entertainment. Everyone makes their contribution, in exchange for the end product, which everyone gets to share. It is also possible to organise to produce goods that can be used in trade with other communities: trade goods. Trade goods are a much better way to store wealth than money, which is, let&#8217;s face it, an essentially useless substance.</em></p>
<p>I can&#8217;t say I share Dmitry&#8217;s belief in this socialist nirvana. The catch for me is “everyone makes their contribution” bit. Anyway, my main beef is with his belief that trade goods are a better way to store wealth and that money is essentially useless. Now I&#8217;m not going to discuss why money is better than barter (either between individuals or “communities” it doesn&#8217;t matter), as I think most people reading this get it. I&#8217;m more interested in why Dmitry would be so negative on money given its obvious efficiency it brings to exchange. The explanation is in this statement later in the article:</p>
<p><em>When we use money, we cede power to those who create money (by creating debt) and who destroy money (by cancelling debt). We also empower the ranks of people whose area of expertise is in the manipulation of arbitrary rules and arithmetic abstractions rather than in engaging directly with the physical world.</em></p>
<p>This has to be one of the best examples of the infiltration of the idea of fiat into society. This guy&#8217;s whole shtick is about radically challenging society yet he can&#8217;t conceive of money as anything but debt, so much so that he proposes returning to barter rather than retaining the benefits of money, but money which is directly engaged with the physical world – gold.</p>
<p>Another example of this misguided thinking is his statement that a lack of money <em>“makes it more difficult to hoard wealth”</em>. Professor Fekete has often debunked this demonisation of hoarding. Dmitry himself is confused on this matter – he thinks it is OK to hoard wealth in the form of trade goods, but not money.</p>
<p>I considered replying to Dmitry&#8217;s article on these matters, but thinking about how brainwashed (I can think of no better word) he is on money, I considered it a futile task. I could see a stereotypical negative perception of gold as some goldbug doom and gloom eccentricity. I see a need to condense Professor Fekete&#8217;s work into an easy (and quick) to understand case for sound money. Another one for the to-do list.</p>
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