Gas Prices: Print Media’s #1 Enemy

At over $4 a gallon, gas is definitely putting the pinch on consumers. Wired writes, “No Mocha For Me, Thanks. I’ve Gotta Buy Gas.” We aren’t sweating the little things; we’re simply cutting them out.

The media is self-centered. It loves to write about itself without regard for whether its audience is interested or not. Lately, everywhere I turn I see “the death of print” articles sniveling over the struggling newspaper and magazine industry. They put the blame squarely on the Internet.

I squarely disagree with this assessment. No doubt some advertising dollars have shifted to the Internet and some readers have shifted their viewing to the Internet. So it’s a contributing factor.

But at the heart of it is gas prices. Consumers are having to divert a few hundred dollars a month to gas. Where does that money come from? It comes out of discretionary income, the money we have left over after paying our bills. It’s the money we spend on mochas, newspapers, magazines, and going out to eat.

One of the first things consumers are going to cut back on is newspapers and magazines. They’re still reading, but instead of paying for paper, they’re turning to the Internet and cutting out the cost of delivery. So the media is out the markup.

But more importantly, advertisers go where the readers are. It’s not that advertisers are preferring to advertise via the Internet necessarily, but rather advertisers are ticks and leaches. They go wherever consumers go. And gasoline prices have driven consumers to the Net.

Will they go back to print when times are better? That depends on how long it takes for the economy to recover. In part, they will become used to getting more of their info via the Net. Technology companies are finally seriously committed to coming out with products that make getting information from the Net easier and more portable. We’re seeing more UMPCs and Netbooks offerings, larger screens on cell phones, and better batteries. And the media is making their content easier to access via feeds.

Eventually, the economy will improve as it always does, but by the time that happens we may have already moved on and left print behind.

Amazon’s Kindle: Super Useful or Super Flop?

Instead of sitting down to read the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal, imagine unplugging a paperback-sized Kindle reader from your nightstand and scrolling down to your favorite columnist. No, you can’t flip the pages.

Since Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos’ pet project hit the market, publishers and writers alike have been holding their breath to see how Kindle would morph the book industry. But more than a year later, the actual numbers of units sold remain shrouded in secrecy. The Kindle device is not ranked on Amazon.com like all other products but retains constant #1 status on its own virtual store.

In lieu of Amazon keeping its mouth shut, Citi analyst Mark Mahaney estimates that Kindle has sold about 190,000 units to date – less than the first year sales of the PalmPilot in 1997 and about half of the Apple iPod in 2001. Publisher Simon & Schuster Inc. saw a 40% growth in e-book sales in 2007, while other companies continue to scoff at the idea of enjoying Jane Austen on a machine, albeit a lightweight one that will play you with English ballroom tunes as you read.

Kindle’s success could bring electronic publications such as blogs, short stories, and newspapers into the bedroom – traditionally book territory – without a backwards look.

Do you think Kindle’s perpetually out of stock status and #1 rank are examples of slick reverse engineering or just another sign of the device’s future promise?