How to Speculate on Precious Metals Without Gambler’s Ruin: Rodney Stevens

Rodney Stevens, portfolio manager at Wolverton Securities, believes investors speculating in precious metals must be disciplined to avoid gambler’s ruin. While “disciplined speculation” may seem like a contradiction, it is key to Stevens’ approach. Through both technical analysis and fundamental analysis, and a careful read of intermediate trends, Stevens has developed a concentrated . . . → Read More: How to Speculate on Precious Metals Without Gambler’s Ruin: Rodney Stevens

How to Speculate Your Way to Success: Doug Casey

So far, 2012 has been a banner year for the stock market, which recently closed the books on its best first quarter in 14 years. But Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey insists that time is running out on the ticking time bombs. Next week when Casey Research’s spring summit gets underway, Casey will . . . → Read More: How to Speculate Your Way to Success: Doug Casey

Uncomfortable times in real estate in store?

Patrick Chovanec has a fascinating article in Foreign Affairs, titled China’s Real Estate Bubble May Have Just Popped. This is interesting and important from two points of view.

First, bad news for China is bad news for the world economy. We are already in a bleak environment, with difficulties in Europe, Japan, the US, . . . → Read More: Uncomfortable times in real estate in store?

Silver news you won't get anywhere else

Shall we count how many bloggers pick up on this news item Chinese silver imports decline 39% y/y; exports tumble 44% y/y:

Silver imports in China fell by 39% y/y and 16% m/m to 264.7 tonnes, the lowest level since February, while silver exports declined by 44% y/y to 83.5 tonnes, keeping China a . . . → Read More: Silver news you won’t get anywhere else

Inflation v Deflation - Which Door do you Pick?

As the debate between inflationistas and deflationistas appear about to rev up again, I thought that I would try to pen to virtual paper and sketch my thoughts on the matter.

The specific catalyst for looking into this is naturally in part the fact that oil looks set to do a round of catch-up . . . → Read More: Inflation vs. Deflation – Which Door do you Pick?

A World Of Multiple Reserve Currencies

WHAT OTHERS ARE THINKING

An example of “gold blindness” from Barry Eichengreen, Professor at the University of California in his recent article on reserve currencies:

“… the view that there can be just one international and reserve currency at any point in time is inconsistent with history. Before 1914, there were three international currencies: . . . → Read More: A World Of Multiple Reserve Currencies

Does Dina Titus Support Wild Speculators?

As I articulated in a previous commentary, if the Fed stays loose to prop up the bond market, this will only undermine the bond market.  In real terms, the bond market tanks.

Now the Fed might be able to prop up the bond market in nominal terms, but what this will do is precipitate . . . → Read More: Does Dina Titus Support Wild Speculators?

Bubble Top Indicators

The report that Hong Kong requested the return of its 2 tonnes of gold to be stored in its new vaults and its suggestion that other Asian countries do the same and store their gold with them resulted in a wave of uninformed hype.

Statements like “the move deals a significant blow to London’s . . . → Read More: Bubble Top Indicators

How Much Prudential Regulation Do We Need?

It was a few weeks since I had seen Jim, so I made the mistake of asking him what he had been doing. He replied that he had been thinking about bankruptcy.

I said that I didn’t know his financial situation was that bad. Jim replied that he wasn’t having too much trouble paying . . . → Read More: How Much Prudential Regulation Do We Need?

SEC Short Sales Ban Did More Harm Than Good

On September 19, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) abruptly banned short sales of financial stocks to protect companies that had come under siege in the stock market. There have been concerns that short sales are behind the big price slides in the market. Many felt that short sellers had contributed to . . . → Read More: SEC Short Sales Ban Did More Harm Than Good