By Simon Grey, on January 19th, 2012
Statistics are often thrown around in the media, showing that people with college degrees earn higher average salaries than people without them. But such statistics lump together apples and oranges — and lemons.
A decade after graduation, people whose degrees were in a hard field like engineering earned twice as much as people whose degrees were in the ultimate soft field, education. Nor is a degree from a prestigious institution a guarantee of a big pay-off, especially not for those who failed to specialize in subjects that would give them skills valued in the real world.
But that is not even half the story. In countries around the world, people with credentials but no marketable skills have been a major source of political turmoil, social polarization and ideologically driven violence, sometimes escalating into civil war.
People with degrees in soft subjects, which impart neither skills nor a realistic understanding of the world, have been the driving forces behind many extremist movements with disastrous consequences.
These include what a noted historian called the “well-educated but underemployed” Czech young men who promoted ethnic identity politics in the 19th century, which led ultimately to historic tragedies for both Czechs and Germans in 20th century Czechoslovakia. It was much the same story of soft-subject “educated” but unsuccessful young men who promoted pro-fascist and anti-Semitic movements in Romania in the 1930s.
The targets have been different in different countries but the basic story has been much the same. Those who cannot compete in the marketplace, despite their degrees, not only resent those who have succeeded where they have failed, but push demands for preferential treatment, in order to negate the “unfair” advantages that others have.
The government, by continually pushing college education, has sown the seeds for its own collapse. And this collapse will come at the hands of those who have fully committed themselves to the government’s own propaganda. How fitting.
By Simon Grey, on November 8th, 2011
If you weren’t sure about the existence of a college bubble, here’s proof:
When the number of psychology majors increase by 135% over25 years, you can be reasonably sure that there’s a college bubble because a) psychology is not a science, it’s a form of bovine fecal matter and b) economies don’t need psychologists in order to grow and thrive. In essence, more than doubling the number of psychologists in the economy is not going to cause massive growth.
So why are there so many psychology majors? Simple: The ease of obtaining student loans makes it appear that there is more demand for psychologists than actually exists. And why do current students believe there is more demand for psychologists than actually exists? Again, simple: the government has incentivized the extension of student loans by guaranteeing repayment thereof. When a student defaults, the government pays the lender then goes to collect the remaining debt. Sometimes the government uses the banks’ collections agencies to collect the loan, which then makes defaulting on student debt a very attractive proposition for the bank that originated the loan.
So how do we know that the increase in psych majors proves there’s a college bubble? Easy: the government’s involved, and is actively encouraging the pursuit of a college education. Plus, does anyone think that so many would pursue a psych degree if they couldn’t finance it so easily?
By Eldon Mast, on September 7th, 2010
The beginning of September saw good news flowing in many corners of the economy.
The consumer made a comeback in July-in both income and spending. Personal income in July posted a 0.2 percent gain, following no change in June. The July figure was a little lower than the consensus expectation for a 0.3 percent rise. More importantly, the wages & salaries component rebounded 0.3 percent after slipping 0.1 percent in June. This component would have been even stronger had it not been for a dip in government payrolls from laying off temporary Census workers. Private industry wages and salaries gained 0.5 percent in July, following a 0.1 percent dip in June. The consumer sector bounce-back should help support overall economic growth.
And retail sales followed the consumer. Chain-store sales improved in the August 28 week, according to Redbook’s tally which shows a plus 3.0 percent year-on-year pace vs. a plus 2.6 percent pace in the prior week. The positive trend is very steady, showing a four-week average of 2.8 percent over the past two weeks and 2.9 percent over the five prior weeks.
ISM’s manufacturing report on business reported a PMI that came in at a stronger-than-expected 56.3 for a sizable eight tenths gain from July. The reading is well over 50 to signal month-to-month growth and in the comparison with July, and points to growth at an accelerating rate. Further this growth is in business activity like production, employment, and inventories. These three factors all accelerated in August. The ISM report is solid and includes strength in both exports and imports and an increase in prices paid that reflects demand for inputs. Jobs in manufacturing have now grown for 9 straight months and last month reflects hiring that is accelerating.
Initial jobless claims are now edging down, as they have for the past couple of weeks. Initial claims for the August 28 week came in at 472,000 compared with a revised 478,000 in the prior week and the 2010 peak of 504,000 the week before that. The four-week average fell 2,500 to 485,500.
And the overall private sector is providing jobs again… that sector added 67,000 positions after a 70,000 boost in July. Leading the way was a 45,000 boost in education & health services, with health care up 40,000. Professional & business services returned to positive territory, rising 20,000 after dipping 3,000 in July.
By Eldon Mast, on December 18th, 2009
FedEx reported Thursday that it shipped 1,000,000 more packages than expected on Monday — which it anticipates will be its peak shipping day this holiday. The firm reported that this year’s busiest day is up 17% from its busiest day last year.
FedEx CEO, Fred Smith further observed that their business has now observed a significant “turning point,” and that the company will resume some normal human resources benefits that it had suspended for employees in 2009.
 “Global economic conditions are improving,” Smith said in an investor conference call Thursday. Executives went on to cite their outlook for “modestly improving economic conditions.” Because of those improvements, FedEx said it will restart merit salary increases and resume its retirement-plan matches for those employees who participate in their 401(k) program. Both policies had been put on hold.FedEx is among a growing list of companies that are lifting freezes on raises and expense control measures that were imposed during the recession. According to a survey by Watson Wyatt — a benefits and human-resources consulting firm — about half of all large U.S. companies that froze salaries for 2009 plan to unfreeze them for 2010, and over a third of companies that reduced 401(k) matching contributions plan to restore them in 2010.
FedEx’s comments further confirm “very good signs ” for retailers this holiday season and their results will be far from lackluster as many economic pundits had widely predicted earlier this year.
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By Richard Daughty, on September 25th, 2009
I really got a laugh out of the report from Bloomberg that the Democratic Party of Japan (known in the parlance as DP) won an historic victory in the recent elections, coming to power for the first time in decades with “a pledge to support households battered by two decades of economic stagnation”, whatever that is supposed to mean, but which is, upon even casual inspection, Standard Political Crapola (SPC).
The interesting part is that the new prime minister, a guy named Hatoyama, said “he’ll avoid more bond sales, so new spending will depend on his success in shrinking the bureaucracy and public works programs”, which is so laughably, ludicrously impossible, especially in such a corrupt, lopsided economy that it makes me, a stupid American who really doesn’t know what in the hell he is talking about, who lives thousands of miles away, in another country and hemisphere, turn up his nose at the sheer stink coming from that idea! Phew!
Of course, this valuable piece of Righteous Mogambo Scorn (RMS) is because it is obviously, obviously too, too late for that.
It is too late, just like it is too late here in the USA, and just like it is too late almost everywhere else, too, where years and years of increasing government spending and control means that government IS the economy, and shrinking the size of government obviously shrinks the economy! Hahahaha! Oops!
So, to the Japanese, I say, “Hahaha! Too late for that, you dumb Japanese chumps! Now you are going to pay a huge penalty for being such morons with your fiat money, and then especially involving the idiot Americans and their fiat money!”
Anyway, crude and rude xenophobic insults and senseless bigotry aside, an example of this is that, here in America, the birthplace of sheer stupidity in central banking (by which I mean the disastrous Federal Reserve), our economic performance as a result of the same kind of constant stimulus is that non-farm payrolls have been falling and are now about back to where they were in 2000, meaning absolutely zero (non-farm payroll) growth for 9 years!
A lot more people seeking the same number of jobs is pretty bad, especially when the number of people is still rising while the number of jobs is actually still falling! Yikes!
Meanwhile, however, the government has spent its time growing bigger and bigger, like a huge, cancerous, oozing lump that is growing on your neck and already people are being repulsed by both the sight and the smell of it, and now there are 6% more people on “government payrolls” than there were in 2001, which is only the tip of the iceberg.
And, as if to add insult to injury, they all make more money than you! Hahaha! For the first time in history, the average pay of a government employee is higher than the average wage of non-government employees! And when you add in their generous benefit packages, they make a lot more, and they are not going to take it kindly that you want them to suffer losses in pay and employment like us average morons out here.
So that is One More Big Reason (OMBR) why the government will keep borrowing more and more and spending more and more, which is why the Federal Reserve must create more and more money and credit, which expands the money supply more and more, which makes prices go up more and more, sometimes in bubbles, which must, and always do, bust back to their intrinsic value.
And such government and banking insanity as we are seeing today is the One Big Reason (OBR) – perhaps THE One Big Reason (TOBR) – why you must buy gold, silver and oil, apart from it being, you know, so easy that you squeal with girlish delight, “Whee! This investing stuff is easy!”
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