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	<title>Citizen Economists &#187; free trade</title>
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	<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs</link>
	<description>Citizen Economists is an online economics magazine written by citizen journalists. These ordinary citizens provide reports and commentary on the current events affecting the economics of the fields they work in.</description>
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		<title>I’m Right (Again)</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2012/01/12/i%e2%80%99m-right-again/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2012/01/12/i%e2%80%99m-right-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jan 2012 14:50:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[labor market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=10529</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In which my theory that free labor simply masks the underlying problem is proven correct: <p>But, in the first study of its kind, the MAC – set up by the last Labour government, and independent of Whitehall – said large-scale immigration was having a significant impact on the job prospects of the ‘native’ population.</p> <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2012/01/12/i%e2%80%99m-right-again/">I’m Right (Again)</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>In which my theory that <a href="http://cygne-gris.blogspot.com/2011/11/free-trade-needs-free-labor.html">free labor simply masks the underlying problem</a> is <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2084667/UK-unemployment-23-fewer-Britons-jobs-100-migrants.html">proven correct</a>:</div>
<blockquote><p>But, in the first study of its kind, the MAC – set up by the last Labour government, and independent of Whitehall – said large-scale immigration was having a significant impact on the job prospects of the ‘native’ population.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The report, which follows years of controversy over whether immigration leads to fewer jobs for British workers, showed that every increase of 100 foreign-born working-age migrants in the UK was linked to a reduction of 23 Britons in employment between 1995 and 2010.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Between 2005 and 2010 alone, the number of working-age migrants in employment rose by 700,000 and displaced 160,000 British-born workers, it said.</p></blockquote>
<div>As can generally be expected, increasing the supply of something—in this case labor—without a similar increase in demand for that thing will generally lead to lower prices.<span> </span>When there is a price floor of sorts (minimum wage, workers’ rights, etc.), the better labor will win out at the margins, which is what appears to have happened here.<span> </span>Since those who decide to emigrate usually tend to be of a rather hardy stock, it should come as no surprise that they are often viewed as marginally better labor, and, as such, get hired more often.<span> </span>And it should also come as no surprise that the marginally superior laborers (immigrants) are offered jobs that would otherwise be offered to natives.</div>
<div>But more than that, it is philosophically consistent to support both free trade and free labor, as the arguments or them are rather similar.<span> </span>The problem, though, with both free trade and free labor is that domestic regulation of both tends to discourage domestic production/producers. As such, both free trade and free labor operate essentially as foreign subsidies. However, free labor is the more pernicious of the two seeing as how it not only undermines domestic production, but also domestic culture, what with the sudden influx of people from other cultures.<span> </span>Ad while people from another culture may enjoy the consequences of living in another culture, this is no guarantee that they will ever do anything but support and further their original culture.</div>
<div>The lesson to be learned from this is that free labor—or even limited regulation—is not particularly beneficial for the native population, economically.<span> </span>As such, it can reasonably be said that any politician who advocates an increase in immigration, tolerance for illegal aliens, or otherwise promotes the migration of foreign workers of any sort is one who is ignorant, hates his country, or is simply stupid.</div>
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		<title>Logical Conclusions</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/09/27/logical-conclusions/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/09/27/logical-conclusions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Sep 2011 16:05:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[labor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pricing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[value]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wealth]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=9200</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sometimes economists can be complete idiots: <p>What is the biggest single drag on the beleaguered global economy? Opponents of globalisation might point to the current crisis, which shrank the world economy by about 5%. Proponents of globalisation might point to the remaining barriers to international flows of goods and capital, which also serve to <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/09/27/logical-conclusions/">Logical Conclusions</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>Sometimes economists can be <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/global-development/poverty-matters/2011/sep/05/migration-increase-global-economy">complete idiots</a>:</div>
<blockquote><p>What is the biggest single drag on the beleaguered global economy? Opponents of globalisation might point to the current crisis, which shrank the world economy by about 5%. Proponents of globalisation might point to the remaining barriers to international flows of goods and capital, which also serve to shrink the world economy by approximately 5%. That sounds like a lot.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>But the truly big fish are swimming elsewhere. <strong><em>The world impoverishes itself much more through blocking international migration than any other single class of international policy.</em></strong> A modest relaxation of barriers to human mobility between countries would bring more global economic prosperity than the total elimination of all remaining policy barriers to goods trade &#8211; every tariff, every quota &#8211; plus the elimination of every last restriction on the free movement of capital. [Emphasis added.]</p></blockquote>
<p>I’ve addressed the stupidity of the “free trade” advocates before, so I won’t do it again here.  However, I will address the problems with the concept of free labor.</p>
<p>First, the economic models used to demonstrate the wisdom of free labor often ignore the simple fact that the conditions facilitating trade in the first place are predicated on culture, and that allowing people from one culture to interact with the trade-oriented culture will diminish the support for the very conditions that allow for trade in the first place.  In other words, all cultures are different.  Some are pro-trade, others are not, and some are only pro-trade when the benefits are staggeringly obvious.  Expecting radically different cultures to interact with one another without also expecting a change in the cultural institutions that harbored that interaction in the first place is astonishingly stupid, and, indeed, ignorant of basic human nature.</p>
<p>This mindset, that the free market will be enough to ensure that all people from all cultures will behave rationally and interact peacefully with one another, is predicated on the wholly fallacious assumptions that people are inherently rational, that all cultures are equivalent, and that cultural biases and prejudices are easily overcome.  Of course, the real world differs significantly from this model.  People are not rational creatures; they are rationalizing creatures.  And, shockingly, people still hate people from other countries simply because they’re from other countries!</p>
<p>Economic growth is rarely (perfectly) linear and never guaranteed.  Furthermore, the conditions for growth are vast and complex, and so it is the height of arrogance to think that models that inaccurately measure a few irrelevant variables are going to make for a compelling argument.  Yet, this is precisely what economists are doing when they argue for free labor.</p>
<p>Second, free labor (and, come to think of it, free trade) advocates tend to ignore the very simple fact that wealth is not based on being able to buy things at lower prices.  Lower prices are the effect, not the cause.  Quite simply, economists ignore fundamental microeconomic principles, leading to this wacky macroeconomic theory.</p>
<p>Wealth, fundamentally, comes from producing something of value, whether for yourself or someone else.  As long as you value that which you’ve created in the quantity in which you’ve supplied it, you have created wealth.  If you create something that someone else values in the quantity in which they value it, you have created wealth.</p>
<p>The standard macroeconomic theory posits that people are effectively wealthier when they can consume more products at identical or lower prices.  Of course, this thinking extends to labor, with the argument being that cheaper labor enables one to produce more with less (in essence, the decreased cost of inputs means that cheaper labor translates to greater economic activity).</p>
<p>This argument is technically true, but irrelevant.  Lower prices as a result of cheap labor does not make consumers wealthier because consumption is, by definition, destructive since one is using up a resource.  What makes consumers wealthier is their own personal production, not lower prices.  Lower prices, in a sense, give the illusion of wealth because they make it easier for poor people to have the things that rich people once exclusively enjoyed.  Note that this is not to condemn lower prices in and of themselves, but rather to clarify that lower prices are no substitute for production.</p>
<p>And so, the argument made by free trade and free labor apologists is largely irrelevant.  Lower prices do not make people inherently wealthier.  Instead, they reveal how other people have become wealthier by improving their means and methods of production.  Confusing cause and effect is a fundamental error, and one that is often overlooked in this debate.</p>
<p>In sum, the argument for free movement of labor completely ignores human nature, as well as basic economic principles.  As such, it does not merit any further discussion, nor should it be taken seriously.</p>
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		<title>Free Trade Fallacies</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/08/29/free-trade-fallacies/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/08/29/free-trade-fallacies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Aug 2011 19:15:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[manufacturing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[protectionism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[regulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=8946</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I sympathize with the sentiment, but this is a dumb way to analyze free trade: <p>Decades of outsourcing manufacturing have left U.S. industry without the means to invent the next generation of high-tech products that are key to rebuilding its economy, as noted by Gary Pisano and Willy Shih in a classic article, “Restoring <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/08/29/free-trade-fallacies/">Free Trade Fallacies</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>I sympathize with the sentiment, but <a href="http://www.blogger.com/"><span> </span>this<span> </span></a> is a dumb way to analyze free trade:</div>
<blockquote><p>Decades of outsourcing manufacturing have left U.S. industry without the means to invent the next generation of high-tech products that are key to rebuilding its economy, as noted by Gary Pisano and Willy Shih in a classic article, “Restoring American Competitiveness” (Harvard Business Review, July-August 2009)</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The U.S. has lost or is on the verge of losing its ability to develop and manufacture a slew of high-tech products. Amazon’s Kindle 2 couldn’t be made in the U.S., even if Amazon wanted to.</p></blockquote>
<p>First, how can Gary Pisano and Willy Shih be sure of the keys to the future?  The eight-track used to be the way to the future of music; the laserdisc used to be the future of home movies (as did HD-DVDs).  How can anyone say with any degree of certainty that high tech products are the key to the future, especially in light of diminishing marginal returns?  The simple fact of the matter is that there is no way to predict what people in the future want, and there is no need, then, for this sort of histrionics.</p>
<p>Second, who says manufacturing is the key to future wealth?  What makes Apple products so popular isn’t their manufacturing specs; it’s how they’re marketed.  It may be that marketing is key to the future, especially if consumers become considerably more concerned with status.  As such, focusing on America’s ability (itself a logical fallacy) to manufacture certain products is shortsighted and unnecessary.</p>
<p>Finally, why is the ability to manufacture high-tech products considered a hallmark of American competiveness instead of domestic economic policy?  If one truly wants to understand why American manufacturing has declined, one need look no further than the federal government’s domestic economic policy.  It has become increasingly anti-business and anti-manufacturing over the past decades, and more supportive of foreign trade.  As I have demonstrated many times now, this combination is eventually going to prove fatal to American businesses.</p>
<p>Thus, the problem isn’t that “America can’t manufacture a Kindle,” it’s that American businesses are being increasingly hamstrung by the American government.  The solution, then, is to repeal the economically destructive laws put in place by the government; it is not lamenting over the decline of high-tech manufacturing.</p>
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		<title>Riots and Free Trade</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/08/11/riots-and-free-trade/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/08/11/riots-and-free-trade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Aug 2011 13:45:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[minimum wage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[protests]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[riots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tariffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=8757</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here’s a chilling excerpt from a paper entitled The Los Angeles Riot and the Economics of Urban Unrest: <p>What caused the 1992 L.A. riot? While this question has no definitive answer, the evidence presented in this paper does suggest that South Central L.A. had some characteristics that made it more likely than other cities <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/08/11/riots-and-free-trade/">Riots and Free Trade</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>Here’s a chilling excerpt from a paper entitled <em><a href="http://www.cityresearch.com/pubs/la_riot.pdf">The Los Angeles Riot and the Economics of Urban Unrest</a></em>:</div>
<blockquote><p>What caused the 1992 L.A. riot?<span> </span>While this question has no definitive answer, the evidence presented in this paper does suggest that South Central L.A. had some characteristics that made it more likely than other cities to explode into a large scale riot.<span> </span>Our empirical results suggest that the ethnic diversity of South Central L.A., <em>the high unemployment rates of young black men in that area</em>, and the sheer size of Los Angeles all help explain the 1992 riot.<span> </span>[Emphasis added.<span> </span>HT: <a href="http://glpiggy.net/2011/08/10/rivers-of-blood/">Chuck</a>.]</p></blockquote>
<p>One of the effects of free trade has been to increase unemployment in manufacturing industries.  Jobs in these industries are generally low-skill, and the proper domain of younger males, at least given the labor market value of young males (hint:  it’s really low since young males tend to lack intellectual capital, i.e. skills).  So, since there are fewer jobs available to young men as a result of free trade, and since young men without jobs are more prone to rioting, it would appear that free trade has a probable role in setting the stage for future riots.</p>
<p>Of course, it is entirely possible to avoid this possibility.  The government can either impose wage parity tariffs on all imports, which would have the effect of ensuring that any imported product would have the cost of minimum wage labor factored in, or the government can stop making illegal for young males to compete with foreign labor and production on price, which means eliminating minimum wage laws.  It is absolutely ludicrous for the government to have policies that hamstring domestic labor and favor foreign labor.  Something has to give eventually, and let’s hope it doesn’t take a large number of unemployed males rioting in the streets to convince the government to set a pro-domestic labor policy.*</p>
<p>* While I’m on the subject, I’d just like to note just how completely horrible it is that the government’s current economic policy is in the worst possible interest of the citizens it claims to represent.  Free trade only benefits domestic consumers because it enables them to buy goods at lower prices than they normally would.  Of course, the general price of goods wouldn’t otherwise be high in the first place if the stupid government hadn’t set policies that drove up the price of goods in the first place.  Between inflation, minimum wage, asinine “corporate” taxation, and incredibly cumbersome regulation, the government has managed to concoct a perfect storm of skyrocketing prices.</p>
<p>The only thing that obfuscates this fact is the presence of foreign trade, which the government welcomes because it helps keep consumers from knowing the true cost of government interference.  Of course, this charade can’t be kept up forever because foreign labor will eventually become more productive, leading to increased demand, leading further to increased prices (wages).  As this happens, the buying power of foreign labor will increase, relatively speaking, and drive up the price of goods on a broad, international level, meaning that Americans will eventually pay more for goods anyway.  By the time this happens, though, the American economy will have been so hamstrung as to become permanently crippled.</p>
<p>And that’s why I hate the American government and the politicians and bureaucrats that run it.  They are fools, every last one of them.  They, and I mean this literally, deserve to rot in the bowels of hell for all eternity for the fraud, deceit, and destruction that they have practiced against the American people.</p>
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		<title>Thomas Sowell on Foreign Trade</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/07/14/thomas-sowell-on-foreign-trade/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/07/14/thomas-sowell-on-foreign-trade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jul 2011 16:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment capital]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=8435</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I knew there was a reason I still liked the guy: <p>The quick fix that got both Democrats and Republicans off the hook with a temporary bipartisan tax compromise, several months ago, leaves investors uncertain as to what the tax rate will be when any money they invest today starts bringing in a return <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/07/14/thomas-sowell-on-foreign-trade/">Thomas Sowell on Foreign Trade</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>I knew <a href="http://townhall.com/columnists/thomassowell/2011/07/13/unknown_unknowns/page/full/">there was a reason</a> I still liked the guy:</div>
<blockquote><p>The quick fix that got both Democrats and Republicans off the hook with a temporary bipartisan tax compromise, several months ago, leaves investors uncertain as to what the tax rate will be when any money they invest today starts bringing in a return in another two or three or ten years. It is known that there will be taxes but nobody knows what the tax rate will be then.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Some investors can send their investment money to foreign countries, where the tax rate is already known, is often lower than the tax rate in the United States and &#8212; perhaps even more important &#8212; is not some temporary, quick-fix compromise that is going to expire before their investments start earning a return.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Although more foreign investments were coming into the United States, a few years ago, than there were American investments going to foreign countries, today it is just the reverse. American investors are sending more of their money out of the country than foreign investors are sending here.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Since 2009, according to the Wall Street Journal, &#8220;the U.S. has lost more than $200 billion in investment capital.&#8221; They add: &#8220;That is the equivalent of about two million jobs that don&#8217;t exist on these shores and are now located in places like China, Germany and India.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>President Obama&#8217;s rhetoric deplores such &#8220;outsourcing,&#8221; but his administration&#8217;s policies make outsourcing an ever more attractive alternative to investing in the United States and creating American jobs.</p></blockquote>
<div>One cannot have free trade, an anti-market domestic trade policy, and a growing domestic economy simultaneously.<span> </span>One might be able to have two of the three, but there is no way to have all three.<span> </span>Unfortunately, Obama is trying to have all three, and it’s just not going to work out.</div>
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		<title>Foreign Trade Revisited</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/06/20/foreign-trade-revisited/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/06/20/foreign-trade-revisited/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 19:30:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[U.S. Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nationalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[protectionism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=8113</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The current support for free trade is based on the supposition of defending consumers from higher prices. What the higher prices would indicate, if they were allowed to occur, is that American production is being destroyed. The laws of supply and demand would bear this hypothesis out because the cumulative effect of domestic economic <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/06/20/foreign-trade-revisited/">Foreign Trade Revisited</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>The current support for free trade is based on the supposition of defending consumers from higher prices.<span> </span>What the higher prices would indicate, if they were allowed to occur, is that American production is being destroyed.<span> </span>The laws of supply and demand would bear this hypothesis out because the cumulative effect of domestic economic regulation is to reduce supply of goods produced.<span> </span>Since demand either stays the same or increases (population trends in America aren’t negative yet), the net effect will be increasing prices.</div>
<div>As noted, foreign trade counterbalances potentially rising prices by increasing the supply of goods offered.<span> </span>Foreign nations do not have the restrictions on labor or environmental effects that plague American businesses, which means that they can produce goods cheaply, enabling them to remain profitable.</div>
<div>Foreign trade, then, redirects consumption away from American producers, who could be competitive if the government allowed them, to foreign producers.<span> </span>Free foreign trade policy coupled with oppressive domestic regulation has the same effect as direct subsidization of foreign business, which begs the question:<span> </span>why is the American government subsidizing foreign business?</div>
<div>The answer is not particularly clear-cut.<span> </span>Most conservatives who support free trade don’t view it as subsidizing foreign producers; they view it as defending consumers.<span> </span>And most leftists don’t view foreign trade as a way of destroying business; some see it as imposing proper regulations on business.<span> </span>Actually, leftists are all over the map on this.<span> </span>Pro-union leftists oppose foreign trade; enviro-leftists either support it as a way to encourage raising foreign environmental standards while some oppose it as a way to encourage raising foreign environmental standards.<span> </span>It might help to note that Bill Clinton signed NAFTA into law, and Paul Krugman has written a book defending free trade.</div>
<div>Additionally, multi-nationalists generally support free trade because it destroys national identity and power, and because it undermines the American economy.<span> </span>Of course, some of the latter is America’s own doing:<span> </span>there’s no need for America to handicap its own business with high taxes and excessive regulation.</div>
<div>At any rate, the current policy of foreign trade is quite damaging to the American economy.<span> </span>This does not require import quotas and high tariffs <em>per se</em>, but it requires that foreign producers be held to the same standard as domestic producers if they wish to sell in America.<span> </span>To have a policy which grants special advantages to foreign producers at the expense of local producers is simply asinine.</div>
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		<title>On Free Trade</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/06/15/on-free-trade/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/06/15/on-free-trade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jun 2011 14:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade deficit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=8061</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Vox has recently leveled his formidable intellectual barrels at free trade (see here, here, and here). The conclusion that he has reached has been that free trade has had negative effects on the American economy for the past several years, and that the Ricardian theory upon which the defense of free trade rests is <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/06/15/on-free-trade/">On Free Trade</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>Vox has recently leveled his formidable intellectual barrels at free trade (see <a href="http://voxday.blogspot.com/2011/06/george-will-fails-to-follow-logic.html">here</a>, <a href="http://www.wnd.com/index.php?pageId=310377">here</a>, and <a href="http://voxday.blogspot.com/2011/06/mailvox-hazlitt-international-trade.html">here</a>).<span> </span>The conclusion that he has reached has been that free trade has had negative effects on the American economy for the past several years, and that the Ricardian theory upon which the defense of free trade rests is largely bunk.<span> </span>He is correct in both these assessments.<span> </span>However, there are a few things that need to be clarified.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>First, the macroeconomic approach to free trade is different from the microeconomic approach.<span> </span>Vox’s argument rests on determining the ratio of imports to exports, which is the mainstream view.<span> </span>The microeconomic approach is to simply acknowledge that there is an exchange takes place, usually of currency for a good or service.<span> </span>The exchange is considered to be equivalent, in that the two parties consider that which is traded to be of at least equal value to what is being received in exchange.<span> </span>Thus, trade is always in a state of balance.<span> </span>It should be noted that the microeconomic view of trade balance is a tautology.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>In the second case, Vox’s argument is based on macroeconomic <em>reality</em>, not microeconomic <em>theory</em>.<span> </span>The reality of American trade is that we are running what is defined to be a trade deficit, due in no small part to being willing to import cheap goods into the country.<span> </span>This has, in turn, shifted manufacturing jobs overseas.<span> </span>This is a matter of fact.<span> </span>Furthermore, Vox would be correct in recommending a tariff or a quota system as a way to remedy the trade deficit.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>Third, it should be noted that it is economically foolish to pursue international free trade while maintaining a high degree of domestic market interventionism.<span> </span>If the government is going to mandate, say, a minimum wage for all workers, then domestic workers are legally prohibited from competing with foreign labor on price, to a limited extent.<span> </span>Having partial market freedom is just as distortive as complete market intervention.<span> </span>As such, it is entirely reasonable to hold all producers to the same production standards, whether said producers happen to be foreign or domestic.<span> </span>Karl Denninger, for one, has recommended wage and environmental parity tariffs, which are the entirely logical response to domestic market interventionism.<span> </span>Quite simply, it is utterly asinine to support free international trade without also supporting free domestic trade.<span> </span>And it is even more foolish to show stronger support for foreign trade than domestic trade, especially if the one showing support is the government.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>Fourth, it should be noted that “free trade” is a bit of a misnomer.<span> </span>“Foreign trade” would be a more accurate description, for most of what passes for free trade today is actually governmental interference.<span> </span>One of the most famous examples of “free trade” of the last two decades, the North American Free Trade Agreement, begs the question:<span> </span>if this is really free trade, why are the governments in three different countries involved?<span> </span>Tautologically, free trade needs no governmental interference, regulation, or oversight.<span> </span>In fact, it only requires that the government get out of the way.<span> </span>Getting out of the way does not require prolonged discussion with foreign governments.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div><a href="http://rebeluniv.blogspot.com/2011/06/playing-in-shallow-end-of-economists.html">Professor Hale</a> objected to Vox’s claims, saying essentially that people should be free to trade with whomever they want.<span> </span>I agree with this assertion as well.<span> </span>However, there are a few things that need pointed out here as well.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>First, using microeconomic theory to argue macroeconomic policy can be troublesome, especially if one does not account for the relevant alternative variables.<span> </span>I cannot tell if this is the case with Professor Hale, mostly because I have only been reading his blog for a rather short amount of time.<span> </span>I assume that he supports a free domestic market as well.<span> </span>I will simply say, then, that if one is going to support free foreign trade than one must <em>first</em> support free domestic trade.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>It should also be noted that most online arguments do not easily lend themselves to hyper-qualified, highly nuanced arguments.<span> </span>Trying to explain how one’s foreign trade prescriptions are identical to one’s domestic trade prescriptions takes time, and doesn’t always strike directly to the heart of the matter.<span> </span>In Professor Hale’s case, it appears that he supports market freedom both internationally and domestic.<span> </span>Unfortunately, given the nature of online debate, his defense of freedom comes across as supporting international trade.</div>
<div></div>
<p></p>
<div>At any rate, these are my thoughts, thus far, on international trade.<span> </span>I’ve addressed this subject before, but since the debate seems to be breaking out again, I decided to revisit it.<span> </span>One other thing that I think is worth mentioning is that ideals should be given their proper place.<span> </span>In this case, freedom and prosperity are the ideals.<span> </span>These ideals should neither be ignored nor used as a substitute for reality.<span> </span>Instead, they should be principles by which one makes policies in light of the current reality.</div>
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		<title>Did JS Mill really claim that violations of free trade have nothing to do with liberty?</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/05/09/did-js-mill-really-claim-that-violations-of-free-trade-have-nothing-to-do-with-liberty/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/05/09/did-js-mill-really-claim-that-violations-of-free-trade-have-nothing-to-do-with-liberty/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 May 2011 17:30:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Winton Bates</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hayek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[individual freedom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JS Mill]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=7584</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[‘Again, trade is a social act. Whoever undertakes to sell any description of goods to the public, does what affects the interests of other persons, and of society in general; and thus his conduct, in principle, comes within the jurisdiction of society’ … . The ‘so-called doctrine of Free Trade … rests on grounds <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/05/09/did-js-mill-really-claim-that-violations-of-free-trade-have-nothing-to-do-with-liberty/">Did JS Mill really claim that violations of free trade have nothing to do with liberty?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><span>‘Again, trade is a social act. Whoever undertakes to sell any description of goods to the public, does what affects the interests of other persons, and of society in general; and thus his conduct, in principle, comes within the jurisdiction of society’ … . The ‘so-called doctrine of Free Trade … rests on grounds different from, though equally solid with, the principle of liberty … . Restrictions on trade, or on production for purposes of trade, are indeed restraints; and all restraints <em>qua</em> restraint, is an evil: but the restraints in question affect only that part of conduct which society is competent to restrain, and are wrong solely because they do not really produce the results which it is desired to produce by them.’</span> J S Mill, ‘On Liberty’, 1859, Ch. 5</div>
<div></div>
<div><a href="http://www.amazon.com/J-S-Mill-Liberty-Writings/dp/1453621547?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=freedandflour-20&amp;link_code=bil&amp;camp=213689&amp;creative=392969" target="_blank"><img src="http://ws.amazon.com/widgets/q?MarketPlace=US&amp;ServiceVersion=20070822&amp;ID=AsinImage&amp;WS=1&amp;Format=_SL160_&amp;ASIN=1453621547&amp;tag=freedandflour-20" alt="J. S. Mill: 'On Liberty' and Other Writings" /></a></div>
<div><img style="border-bottom: medium none;border-left: medium none;border-right: medium none;border-top: medium none;margin: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px !important;padding-left: 0px !important;padding-right: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important" src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/a3f29_ir?t=freedandflour-20&amp;l=bil&amp;camp=213689&amp;creative=392969&amp;o=1&amp;a=1453621547" border="0" alt="" width="1px" height="1px" />This passage has puzzled me since I was a young man. It seems to me that individual liberty is obviously violated when governments intervene in trade. If a government imposes a tax on a good for the purposes of assisting the producers of a close substitute, this must be just as much an infringement of the liberty of consumers as when it imposes a sin tax on a good to discourage consumers from purchasing that good.</div>
<p>However, it is now clearer to me what Mill was trying to say. The first key to the puzzle is that Mill refers to ‘the principle of individual liberty’ rather than just ‘individual liberty’. What Mill means by the principle of individual liberty is explained a couple of paragraphs earlier as the maxim ‘that the individual is not accountable to society for his actions, in so far as these concern the interests of no person but himself’. According to that view, the individual should be accountable to society for ‘actions that are prejudicial to the interests of others’.</p>
<div><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Constitution-Liberty-Definitive-Collected-Works/dp/0226315398?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=freedandflour-20&amp;link_code=bil&amp;camp=213689&amp;creative=392969" target="_blank"><img src="http://ws.amazon.com/widgets/q?MarketPlace=US&amp;ServiceVersion=20070822&amp;ID=AsinImage&amp;WS=1&amp;Format=_SL160_&amp;ASIN=0226315398&amp;tag=freedandflour-20" alt="The Constitution of Liberty: The Definitive Edition (The Collected Works of F. A. Hayek)" /></a><img style="border-bottom: medium none;border-left: medium none;border-right: medium none;border-top: medium none;margin: 0px;padding-bottom: 0px !important;padding-left: 0px !important;padding-right: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important" src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/d7e77_ir?t=freedandflour-20&amp;l=bil&amp;camp=213689&amp;creative=392969&amp;o=1&amp;a=0226315398" border="0" alt="" width="1px" height="1px" /></div>
<div></div>
<div>Friedrich Hayek and others have noted that the distinction that Mill sought to make between actions that affect the acting person and actions that affect others is not very useful because there is hardly any action that may not conceivably affect others in some way. According to Hayek the relevant issue is whether it is reasonable for the affected persons to expect legal protection from the action concerned (‘Constitution of Liberty’, 1960, p 145).</div>
<p>Now, in the paragraph immediately prior to his discussion of international trade, Mill acknowledges that damage to the interests of others does not necessarily justify the interference of society. In this context he discussed the views of society toward various forms of contest in which people who succeed benefit ‘from the loss of others’. He notes: ‘society admits no right, either legal or moral, in the disappointed competitors to immunity from this kind of suffering’.</p>
<p>The second key to the puzzle is that in the passage quoted above Mill suggests that all restraints are evil. If Mill is referring to coercion, as seems likely, then it seems to me that at this point he is close to recognizing the merits of the definition of liberty that Hayek later adopted. Hayek defined liberty as ‘a state in which coercion of some by others is reduced as much as possible in society’ (‘Constitution of Liberty’, p 11). This definition meets Mill’s desire to acknowledge that restraints are necessary to protect citizens from force and fraud, and may be appropriate under some other circumstances where individual conduct adversely affects the interests of others.</p>
<p>Mill seems to have been attempting to establish that the attitude of society toward individual conduct should depend on where it lies on a spectrum. At one end of the spectrum, where conduct affects only the individual actor, other people have no right to intervene. At the other end, force and fraud should obviously be illegal. At other points on the spectrum the effects of individual conduct on the welfare of society are ‘open to discussion’. (Mill uses these words are used in the introductory paragraphs of Ch. IV.)</p>
<p>In asserting that the ‘doctrine’ of free trade rests on equally solid ground to ‘the principle of liberty’ Mill is clearly implying that in our discussion of trade there should be a strong presumption that free trade enhances the general welfare of society. It follows that he must believe that government intervention in trade is generally an unwarranted form of coercion. That seems to me to be just another way of saying that such intervention is generally an unwarranted interference with individual liberty.</p>
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		<title>Trade Agreements and the Free Market</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/04/12/trade-agreements-and-the-free-market/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/04/12/trade-agreements-and-the-free-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Apr 2011 15:27:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Grey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[U.S. Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[protectionism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tariffs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=7286</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This sounds familiar: <p>Later this year, the Obama administration and Congress will seek bipartisan votes to pass free trade agreements with South Korea, Colombia and Panama. With 87% of global economic growth over the next 5 years taking place outside of the United States, trade supporters believe these agreements will create jobs and prosperity <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/04/12/trade-agreements-and-the-free-market/">Trade Agreements and the Free Market</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/04/06/guest-contribution-misconceptions-about-trade-agreements/?mod=WSJBlog">This</a> sounds familiar:</div>
<blockquote><p>Later this year, the Obama administration and Congress will seek bipartisan votes to pass free trade agreements with South Korea, Colombia and Panama. With 87% of global economic growth over the next 5 years taking place outside of the United States, trade supporters believe these agreements will create jobs and prosperity by helping American companies tap into fast-growing export markets.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Opponents disagree. They argue that “NAFTA-style” trade agreements hurt rather than help the U.S. economy — and polls show that much of the public agrees.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>But is this conventional wisdom correct? Or do trade deals work? As Washington gears up for hard-edged debates about trade, it’s worth exploring some common misconceptions about free trade agreements.</p></blockquote>
<div>This line of argumentation reminds me of Milton Friedman’s attempt at defending central banks.<span> </span>Friedman took the approach that the free market was the bees’ knees at everything, except money.<span> </span>Likewise, trade proponents take the approach that the market is good, but then somehow manages to conclude that we need the government to step in and a) create an artificial legal entity (the corporation) and b) enter into trade treaties with foreign nations.</div>
<div>Somehow, all this government interference is defended in the name of the free market, and those who don’t accept this new gospel are branded as ignorant or worse.<span> </span>There is good reason to be wary of governmental interference, seeing as how virtually all interference is destructive, inefficient, or counterproductive.</div>
<div>If trade proponents are truly concerned about free trade, they would first oppose the massive tax and regulatory burdens placed on domestic production and trade.<span> </span>Then maybe their message of increased foreign trade would seem more sincere.</div>
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		<title>Globalisation: The Glass is Half Empty</title>
		<link>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/01/31/globalisation-the-glass-is-half-empty/</link>
		<comments>http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/01/31/globalisation-the-glass-is-half-empty/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Jan 2011 16:35:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ajay Shah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[British Empire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[globalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[manufacturing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[services]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/?p=6375</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>One of the many fascinating facts that you see in Economic History and Modern India: Redefining the Link by Tirthankar Roy (Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2002) is about India&#8217;s trade/GDP ratio. The trade/GDP ratio rose dramatically from 1 to 2 per cent in 1800 to 20 per cent in 1914.</p> <p>By 1970, the <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2011/01/31/globalisation-the-glass-is-half-empty/">Globalisation: The Glass is Half Empty</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the many fascinating facts that you see in <a href="http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/089533002760278749"><em>Economic History and Modern India: Redefining the Link</em></a> by Tirthankar Roy (Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2002) is about India&#8217;s trade/GDP ratio. The trade/GDP ratio rose dramatically from 1 to 2 per cent in 1800 to 20 per cent in 1914.</p>
<p>By 1970, the trade/GDP ratio had dropped to 8 per cent. It was only in the mid 1990s, the trade/GDP ratio had got back to<br />
the 20 per cent value seen in 1914.</p>
<p>Most people in India today are not aware of the pre-War world, where goods and services flowed freely across the boundary, when<br />
people in India diversified their portfolios across the globe, travelled freely within the British Empire, etc.</p>
<p>After the War, there was a big push worldwide to reduce trade barriers. Governments, then, made the call that agriculture was not<br />
worth fighting for (since it was a fading share of world GDP but a large number of votes), and focused on manufacturing. By and large,<br />
this worked. Trade in manufacturing is pretty free worldwide.</p>
<p>But world GDP shifted away from manufacturing. Today, world GDP is dominated by services. World GDP is now 5.8% agriculture, 30.8% manufacturing and 63.4% services.</p>
<p>Crudely speaking, if we have full free trade in goods, but zero trade in agriculture or services, then 69% of World GDP is submerged<br />
in autarky.</p>
<p>Over the last 20 years, manufacturing trade liberalisation has continued, but the share of services in world GDP has risen. I suspect<br />
that overall, this has made the world <em>less</em> hospitable to trade.</p>
<p>An interesting <a href="http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6023">article on voxEU</a> by Sebastien Miroudot, Jehan Sauvage and Ben Shepherd points out that in the aggregate, the costs of trade have dropped sharply for goods from 1995 onwards, but not for services.</p>
<p>We need to work harder on removing a variety of barriers to trade in goods. But we need to work much harder on removing the barriers to trade in services.</p>
<p>In this sense, the globalisation project is far from done. By and large, the world has done well on removing barriers to the movement of goods and capital (though India is as yet a laggard on both fronts). The two great frontiers are now trade in services and the movement of people. Given the huge footprint of services in world GDP, it is not even the case that we are exposing the world economy to as much global competition as was the case a few decades ago, when manufacturing was a big part of world trade and there was a lot of trade in it.<img src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/8f126_19649274-3643694088276121421?l=ajayshahblog.blogspot.com" alt="" width="1" height="1" /><img src="http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/22ef7_WjxxcF0VD3w" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></p>
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