Economic Events on April 29, 2011

At 8:30 AM EDT, the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report for March will be released. The consensus for Personal Income is an increase of 0.3% over the previous month and the consensus Consumer Spending index change is an increase of 0.5%.

Also at 8:30 AM EDT, the Employment Cost Index for the first quarter of 2011 will be announced.

At 9:45 AM EDT, the Chicago PMI Index for April will be announced.  The consensus index value is 68, which is 2.6 points lower than last month, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of April will be announced.  The consensus is that the index will be at 69.6, which is the same as the value reported in the first half of the month.

At 12:30 PM EDT, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will give a speech to the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank Community Affairs Research Conference.

At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for March will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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Economic Events on March 30, 2011

The Mortgage Bankers’ Association purchase index was released at 7:00 AM EDT, and there was a week to week decrease of 1.7% in the Purchase Index and a week to week decrease of 10.1% in the Refinance Index.

The Challenger Job-Cut Report will be released at 7:30 AM EDT, providing an estimate of the number of layoffs in February.

At 8:15 AM EDT, the ADP Employment Report will be released.  Investors will be watching this number to get advance notice on the state of the job market in advance of the government’s report on Friday.

At 10:30 AM EDT, the weekly Energy Information Administration Petroleum Status Report will be released, giving investors an update on oil inventories in the United States.

At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for February will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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Economic Events on February 28, 2011

At 8:30 AM EST, the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report for January will be released.  The consensus for Personal Income is an increase of 0.4% over the previous month and the consensus Consumer Spending index change is an increase of 0.4%.

At 9:45 AM EST, the Chicago PMI Index for February will be announced.  The consensus index value is 68, which is 0.8 points lower than last month, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 10:00 AM EST, the value of the pending home sales index for December will be announced.

At 3:00 PM EST, the Farm Prices report for January will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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Economic Events on January 31, 2011

At 8:30 AM EST, the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report for December will be released.  The consensus for Personal Income is an increase of 0.4% over the previous month and the consensus Consumer Spending index change is an increase of 0.5%.

At 9:45 AM EST, the Chicago PMI Index for January will be announced.  The consensus index value is 65, which is 3.6 points lower than last month, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 3:00 PM EST, the Farm Prices report for December will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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Economic Events on December 30, 2010

At 8:30 AM EST, the U.S. government will release its weekly Jobless Claims report.  The consensus is that there were 415,000 new jobless claims last week, which would would be 5,000 less than last week’s number as the employment market continues to show signs of improvement.

At 9:45 AM EST, the Chicago PMI Index for December will be announced.  The consensus index value is 62, which is 0.5 points lower than last month, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 10:00 AM EST,the value of the pending home sales index for November will be announced.

At 10:30 AM EST, the weekly Energy Information Administration Natural Gas Report will be released, giving an update on natural gas inventories in the United States.

At 11:00 AM EST, the weekly Energy Information Administration Petroleum Status Report will be released, giving investors an update on oil inventories in the United States.

At 3:00 PM EST, the Farm Prices report for November will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

At 4:30 PM EST, the Federal Reserve will release its Money Supply report, showing the amount of liquidity available in the U.S. economy.

Also at 4:30 PM EST, the Federal Reserve will release its Balance Sheet report, showing the amount of liquidity the Fed has injected into the economy by adding or removing reserves.

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Economic Events on November 30, 2010

At 7:45 AM EST, the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales report will be released, giving an update on the health of the consumer through this analysis of retail sales.

At 8:55 AM EST, the weekly Redbook report will be released, giving us more information about consumer spending.

At 9:00 AM EST, the monthly S&P/Case-Shiller home price index report will be released.  Given that most economists don’t expect the overall U.S. economy to improve until housing prices end their decline, the market will be watching this number closely.

At 9:45 AM EST, the Chicago PMI Index for November will be announced.  The consensus index value is 61, which is 0.4 points higher than last month, and is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 10:00 AM EST, the monthly report on Consumer Confidence for November will be released.  The consensus index level is 52, which would be a 1.8 point increase from October’s number.

Also at 10:00 AM EST, the State Street Investor Confidence Index will be released, which looks at changes in the amount of equities held in the portfolios of institutional investors.

At 3:00 PM EST, the Farm Prices report for October will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

At 8:00 PM EST, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Cleveland Federal Reserve President Sandra Pianalto will discuss the economy with global, regional and local business leaders.

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Economic Events on October 29, 2010

At 8:30 AM EDT, the Employment Cost Index for the third quarter of 2010 will be announced.  The consensus is an increase of 0.5%, which is the same as the second quarter of 2010.

Also at 8:30 AM EDT, the advance GDP report for the second quarter of 2010 will be announced.  The consensus is an increase of 2.0% in real GDP and an increase of 2.0% in the GDP price index.  The real GDP estimate is slightly higher than the final estimate for the previous quarter, and these levels indicate moderate economic growth.

At 9:45 AM EDT, the Chicago PMI Index for October will be announced.  The consensus index value is 57.6, which is 2.8 points lower than last month, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of October will be announced.  The consensus is that the index will be at 68, which is 0.1 points higher than the value reported in the first half of the month.

At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for September will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

Economic Events on September 29, 2010

The Mortgage Bankers’ Association purchase index was released at 7:00 AM EDT, and there was a week to week increase of 2.4% in the Purchase Index and a week to week decrease of 1.6% in the Refinance Index as interest rates remain near record lows.

At 10:30 AM EDT, the weekly Energy Information Administration Petroleum Status Report will be released, giving investors an update on oil inventories in the United States.

At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for September will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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Economic Events on August 31, 2010

At 7:45 AM EDT, the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales report will be released, giving an update on the health of the consumer through this analysis of retail sales.

At 8:55 AM EDT, the weekly Redbook report will be released, giving us more information about consumer spending.

At 9:00 AM EDT, the monthly S&P/Case-Shiller home price index report will be released.  Given that most economists don’t expect the overall U.S. economy to improve until housing prices end their decline, the market will be watching this number closely.

At 9:45 AM EDT, the Chicago PMI Index for August will be announced.  The consensus index value is 56, which is 6.3 points lower than June, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 10:00 AM EDT, the monthly report on Consumer Confidence for August will be released.  The consensus index level is 50.3, which would be a 0.6 point increase over July.

Also at 10:00 AM EDT, the State Street Investor Confidence Index will be released, which looks at changes in the amount of equities held in the portfolios of institutional investors.

At 2:00 PM EDT, the Federal Open Market Committee will release its minutes for the meeting held on August 10, 2010.  This report contains quarterly economic forecasts from the Federal Reserve and policy changes that were discussed.

At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for August will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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Economic Events on July 30, 2010

At 8:30 AM EDT, the Employment Cost Index for the second quarter of 2010 will be announced.  The consensus is an increase of 0.4%, which would be a decline of 0.2% compared to the first quarter of 2010.

Also at 8:30 AM EDT, the advance GDP report for the second quarter of 2010 will be announced.  The consensus is an increase of 2.5% in real GDP and an increase of 1.0% in the GDP price index.  The real GDP estimate is slightly lower than the final estimate for the previous quarter, but these levels indicate moderate economic growth.

At 9:45 AM EDT, the Chicago PMI Index for July will be announced.  The consensus index value is 56, which is 3.1 points lower than June, but is still well above the break-even level at 50.

At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of July will be announced.  The consensus is that the index will be at 67, which would be a 0.5 improvement from the beginning of July, after a 10 point drop from the second half of June.

At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for July will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.

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