A Welcome Definition

Foseti provides one for “austerity”:

I’ve complained a few times that opponents of austerity refuse to define what they’re opposed to. Naively, I’d assumed that austerity meant that governments were cutting spending. Actually, it turns out governments continue to spend more money during period of austerity and even periods of “crippling austerity.” I’ve done . . . → Read More: A Welcome Definition

A Taxing Proposition

Newt Gingrich, alleged genius, has an imbecilic tax plan:

The tax plan proposed by Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich would add $1.3 trillion to the U.S. budget deficit in 2015 alone, a new analysis shows, complicating his goal of balancing the government’s books. [That’s an understatement, to say the least. –ed.]

The analysis by . . . → Read More: A Taxing Proposition

Household behaviour that counteracts fiscal expansion

Suppose a government tries to boost demand in the economy by boosting the deficit.

A fascinating feature of the situation is: Households are not wood, households are not stones, but men. And being men, they will look forward, they will optimise. Households know that all government expenditure requires taxation: all that is achieved by . . . → Read More: Household behaviour that counteracts fiscal expansion

Since You asked…

This is a time of the year when I meet new people or get reacquainted with old friends, and once we run out of the usual “status update” conversation, someone often asks about the economy and the current crisis about the debt ceiling. I’m going to break a self-imposed guideline for this blog, and . . . → Read More: Since You Asked…

Doug Casey: Precious Metals vs. the USD

One sure upshot of the quantitative easing money flooding the stock market will be further distortions, chaos and unpredictability that make the value-investing proposition difficult, if not impossible, according to Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey. On the eve of a sold-out Casey Research Summit in Boca Raton, Florida, Doug returns to The Gold . . . → Read More: Doug Casey: Precious Metals vs. the USD

This Means a Lot

Via Yahoo:

The House on Friday passed a Republican budget blueprint proposing to fundamentally overhaul Medicare and combat out-of-control budget deficits with sharp spending cuts on social safety net programs like food stamps and Medicaid.

The nonbinding plan lays out a fiscal vision cutting $6.2 trillion over the coming decade from the budget submitted . . . → Read More: This Means a Lot

Marshall Auerback: Fiscal Policy Setting Stage for a New Bubble

Marshall Auerback, corporate spokesperson for Toronto-based Pinetree Capital, is a so-called “hedge fund” strategist. He believes that deficit spending is not bound by anything other than inflation, which, he says, is of limited consequence right now. Marshall believes the U.S. government’s main goal should be to reduce unemployment, and he predicts the gold price . . . → Read More: Marshall Auerback: Fiscal Policy Setting Stage for a New Bubble

Random Shots – 2011 Musings Edition

I did have some plans to do a series of post to give a brief overview of my main macro and trade themes for 2011, but time has, not surprisingly, caught up with me. As such, you will have to make due with a special version of random shots.

Risky Assets to fly in . . . → Read More: Random Shots – 2011 Musings Edition

Has the Market Finally Gotten it on the Eurozone Periphery?

Popular wisdom has it that markets are always right or, more appropriately; that if you find your self on the wrong side of the market consensus the best cause of action is to join the ranks less you want to be rolled over by a steamroller. However, it may take some time before the . . . → Read More: Has the Market Finally Gotten it on the Eurozone Periphery?

Currency Conflicts Come to Prominence Again

From the mid 1990s onwards, the US trade balance has steadily become bigger. This is a centrepiece of the problem of `global imbalances’. Starting from values of roughly zero, this got all the way to values like $70 billion a month, where the US was importing over $2 billion a day of capital to . . . → Read More: Currency Conflicts Come to Prominence Again