Hawala Banking And Currency Controls Part II

If you are unfamiliar with hawala banking then I recommend reading Hawala Banking And Currency Controls Part I to become familiar with the concept before reading further.  If you are familiar with how hawala banking works then you will probably know that hawala transactions are not inherently wrong and should not arouse any suspicion in the mind of a moral person.

However, there may be formal reporting to government depending on the peculiar nature of some of the assets depending on applicable rules for sale and transfer.  In many countries there are legal rules which may impose civil and/or criminal penalties for each one of the transactions that I have described in earlier articles because they are considered money laundering by their governments.

HOW CURRENCY CONTROLS AFFECT HAWALA BANKING

The laws and regulations of various governments regarding financial transactions across the globe cover the entire spectrum from no regulation to very strict regulations. This is not a critique or recommendation based on any particular legal framework but only the fundamental principles surrounding the issue. Therefore, consult a local attorney before engaging in any financial transactions.

Currency controls can take many forms. Probably the most common form is the restriction, limitation or prohibition of the sale, purchase or exchange of certain goods or currencies within a country or between countries. Some of these controls include reporting requirements for financial transactions, registration of Money Service Businesses, record keeping requirements when you buy gold or sell silver, and identification requirements for transactors.

The informal nature of traditional hawala banking and the private nature of the transactions allows individuals to avoid interference with their fundamental human rights by currency controls which put a limit on transactions or demand “transparency” requirements. Even so, many nations have made hawala banking subject to these laws, but the laws suffer from these immoral fundamental flaws.

TRANSACTIONAL LIMITATIONS

The limitation, regulation or prohibition of some exchanges makes the goods or currencies like real estate in that they can no longer be freely moved from one country to the next. Things like official foreign currency exchange rates and limits to the amount of cash that can be taken into or out of a country are typical examples.

The solution to this problem, where it is not illegal to do so, is to effect the transaction using one, or a combination, of the examples in Part I. This way the transactional limitations can be lessened or even avoided completely. Nobody likes competition and therefore many vampire squid banks through the governments have made such transactions illegal. Even in the cases shown in Part I, where there is a legitimate reason or purpose behind “avoiding” the transactional limitations, most legal systems which outlaw avoidance would find these methods to be illegal as well.

TRANSPARENCY REQUIREMENTS

Transparency requirements are those laws like the ones found in the ironically named USA PATRIOT Act which require “know your customer” identification requirements, registration with the government to transmit money, record keeping requirements and mandatory Currency Transaction Reports and Suspicious Activity Reports. This framework was suggested by the IMF to governments around the world.

However, these laws are much like the Stamp Act of 1765. In both cases the requirement was unnecessary and used to fund activity which provided no benefit to the people taxed. The Stamp Act was quickly repealed after ardent opposition by the colonists in America.  A young John Adams heard James Otis, Jr., a Boston attorney, vehemently speak out about these nefarious Writs of Assistance:

But Otis was a flame of fire! … American Independence was then and there born.  The seeds of Patriots and Heroes, to defend the non sine Diis animosus infans;- to defend the vigorous youth were then and there sown.  Every man, of an immense crowded audience, appeared to me to go away as I did, ready to take arms against writs of assistance.*  Then, and there, was the first scene of the first act of opposition to the arbitrary claims of Great Britain-then and there the child Independence was born.  In fifteen years, i.e. in 1776, he grew up to manhood, and declared himself free. [Annals Of The American Revolution Or A Record Of The Causes And Events, page 225]

The fundamental nature of hawala banking, an informal transaction among trusted individuals, makes all of these requirements superfluous and unnecessary for the hawaladars to operate successfully. The history of hawala banking shows that without any of the record keeping and regulation that banks are subject to, hawala banking is far more efficient, less expensive, is not subject to institutional or political risk, has been the source of vital funds for war torn and impoverished nations and is much faster than other systems of exchange. So why force people to use the Pony Express rather than the Internet?

FIGHTING CRIME: Pretending To Be Batman

The competing claims that underlie this clash are between the right to privacy and the protection of innocent people against criminal activity. The argument used to justify the regulation of the informal hawala system is that it is necessary to identify and prevent crime and terrorism. Although it is untrue based on credible and verifiable sources, we will assume it is true that terrorism and organized crime use hawala transactions as a significant source for funding. The question then becomes, how much privacy may be sacrificed to ferret out crime and terrorism?

The Stamp Act opponents relied on the English Constitution for an argument against the Stamp Act, taxation without representation. The same offenses to liberty and human rights are present with anti-hawala laws but the same constitutional argument is not necessarily applicable here. The stronger one is to look to the US constitution, the Fourth Amendment which states:

The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

It cannot be more clear that in order to protect individuals from crime, before there is a search through private papers, there must be probable cause and a warrant issued to do so.

No transparency requirement as adopted in the USA PATRIOT Act or other financial regulation of hawala banking meets this critical test. Because the transactions are private, there should be probable cause and a proper warrant to search. In addition, the fundamental human right to freedom to contract gives the individuals and the hawaladars the freedom to agree not to maintain records of the individual transaction if they so choose. The same legal argument might not be available in all countries, but the fundamental rights of privacy and freedom of contract are the same for all people.

Thus, just like Batman does not always follow the law to ferret out crime, governments think they can ignore the law and legal principles to fight crime. But unlike Batman, costumed government officials do not actually succeed in reducing crime or terrorism by these means but they do manage to parasitically draw a paycheck from the productive members of society.

CONCLUSION

Hawala banking, where legal, provides opportunities to profit for hawaladars and significant other benefits for the parties to the transactions. Currency controls and other laws passed to regulate hawala banking are not only offensive to fundamental rights of freedom of contract and a right to privacy, but short of complete totalitarian control are impossible to effectively enforce in an informal system such as hawala. The private and informal nature of hawala banking makes detection of hawaladars extremely difficult. And it is the very currency controls that incentivize individuals to use the informal hawala banking system rather than the formal institutions which are slower, more expensive, less efficient, more intrusive and less secure.

Interpreting Recent Movements of the Rupee-Dollar Rate

In recent weeks, there has been a lot of focus on the appreciation of the rupee against the dollar. In an opinion piece in Financial Express today, I point out that the US dollar has fluctuated considerably in the period after September 2008, and interpret the recent events on the Indian currency market. At first, in the `flight to safety’ into US government bonds that came about after the Lehman shock, the US dollar gained ground. As the global financial system has gained confidence, the reversal of this `flight to safety’ has meant a concomitant decline in the US dollar.

These ups and downs of the US dollar have important implications for our intuition in India about the rupee-dollar rate. If we think the US dollar is roughly fixed, then the pursuit of an inflexible rupee-dollar rate can be interpreted as some kind of `stability’. But if the US dollar itself is a fluctuating yardstick, it is hard to justify efforts at RBI to obtain inflexibility of the rupee-dollar rate. When the dollar declines in value, an attempt at holding on to a rigid rupee-dollar rate is tantamount to forcing a rupee depreciation, and vice versa.

Greater flexibility in the rupee dollar rate will free up monetary policy to pursue the more important goal of stabilising the domestic business cycle. But along the way, for firms to learn to live with greater flexibility of the rupee dollar rate, well functioning currency derivatives markets are required. RBI needs to first step away from the present strategy of banning most of these markets, so as to be able to move forward to greater flexibility of the rupee.

On the macroeconomic arguments about the long-term decline of the US dollar, see Wolfgang Munchau in the Financial Times today.

A Hedge Against Government Instability

Currency = Shares in the political state
Bonds = Issued by Government are nothing more than a derivative option
Shares = In the corporate world are a hedge against domestic inflation
Gold = Is the hedge against Government instability

Currency is an instrument that represents the total wealth of a nation. It is nothing more than a individual common stock share whose value will rise and fall dependent upon how the world believes and trusts in the management.

So bonds are simply an option on the currency and you hope that the interest paid offset the depreciation in the value of the bond/currency for the duration it was held. Of course, buying government debt is the one bet you can make that is a guaranteed loss. It is only a question of how much capital you lose.

Shares/stocks of private corporations reflect a hedge against inflation. Most stocks will only keep pace with inflation that is real, not manipulated statistics.

Gold is just starting to come into its own. Its role is obviously not the hedge against inflation as is stocks, but the hedge against the instability of government. For when all else fails, gold becomes the only store of wealth.

Coming Soon: New Currency Order

Whatever you think of the young administration of President Barack Obama, you have to admit the man does not lack for ambition. He promised that sea levels would fall and the lame would walk, and everyone understands that will take at least a couple more months. But taking over the motor industry, well that’s just the work of a couple of the President’s bright sparks over the weekend. It’s great knowing that I’ll be able to go into my Congressman’s constituent services office when I need parts for my old Dodge truck.

My sources in Washington tell me that the next thing to come out of the salvation lab is a major currency reform. The American Dollar, the Yankee Greenback, it has served us so well for so long, but now it’s lame too. Better just to repudiate all claims and start over, as they are wont to do in the countries of South America that have lately emerged as models of public administration.

I hear the new buck will be called the O-buck.

G20 Party In London

Keeping yourself, your family and your assets safe during a credit contraction can be a particularly daunting task but I am sure you are up for it.  Gold is the currency.  Irredeemable tickets, like the FRN$, Euro, Pound and Yen merely function like the common stock of nations.  Like a falling share price of a corporation; when those irredeemable tickets, either digital or paper, lose purchasing power it does not bode well for the nation.

PAST PARTIES

Charles I in 1649 seemed to lose his head when the English partied in their revolution.  Then the scoundrel sociopath John Law was instrumental in starting a massive inflationary credit expansion that was followed predictably by a deflationary credit contraction that decimated the French economy.

The working class decided to protect themselves by using gold and silver in their ordinary daily transactions.  John Law got the insane idea to institute the death penalty for those using the precious metals.  The People responded by rounding up the criminal gangs costumed in government regalia, like King Louis XIV, in the public squares and giving them a free ride on the guillotine.

This is an effective way of dealing with dangerous rabid animals which cannot be rehabilitated.  But I prefer the American method which involves the due process of law and not the blind rage of a mob.  Under Section 19 of the Coinage Act of 1792 when costumed governmental officials engage in counterfeiting they ’shall suffer death’.

PARTY IN LONDON

The G-20 will be holding a party in London on 2 April 2009 at the Bank of England.  Flash mobs are extremely popular in England and it appears everyone has been invited to the G-20 party.

Well, everyone except the red-headed step child Ireland.  Perhaps it is because Ireland’s credit rating was cut from AAA to AA+ by the S&P and they can no longer keep up.  The G20 countries attending are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Because of the dire straits England is in and with the Bank of England engaging in quantitative easing the British Pound has lost over 30% of its value in the last year.  Perhaps that is why, as the BBC reports, “six police forces are part of the £7.5m security plan’ and some 84,000 police man-hours have been expended.  ”All police leave has been cancelled in London for Wednesday and Thursday.”

Some police will probably be in uniform while others will be like the undercover agent provocateurs at one of Canada’s parties.  But what happens when the brutalizing class no longer accepts the irredeemable tickets for payment?  Then even the police get to party.

ARGENTINA LIKES TO PARTY

The Argentinian Peso has been declining, like usual, so the Argentineans have been partying, like usual.  Last week I decided to talk a short walk around Buenos Aires.  Nothing gets the blood of a journalist flowing like wandering unexpectedly into a giant protest of about 10,000.

That picture was taken with my iPhone on Nuevo de Julio which is the largest avenue in the world.  While the full street is not shown it is extremely wide with many lanes of traffic.

It seems everyone is partying these days; Greece, China, Iceland, and even the United Snakes is having tea parties.

After all, in the United States partying is protected under the First Amendment of the Constitution.  ”Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof, or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or of the right of people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for the redress of grievances.”

How fun!

PARTY ETIQUETTE IN LONDON

There is suitable dress for bankers when attending the party.  For those who are in London please encourage all your banker associates to be extremely helpful and bring their own tie.

Bloomberg reported on the many websites that purport to provide advice for party etiquette while in London.  One website gave this advice:  ”How to keep warm during the credit crunch …. BURN A BANKER!

If only Wall Street and Washington were viewed as sociopaths infected with the financial insanity virus who are intentionally exacerbating the greater depression then there would be a lot of rounding up to do.

NATIONAL CURRENCIES WILL CONTINUE DECLINING

Investors are usually worried when there are parties like these.  Their property, plant and equipment may get damaged.  As a result, they seek to allocate capital to safer and more liquid assets.

To date capital has been moving into the FRN$ resulting in Treasury yields being pushed near 0%.  Despite the ’safety’ of government paper; auctions are failing in Britain and Germany.  China and Russia are getting increasingly anxious about the FRN$ and its role as the world’s reserve currency will surely be a hot topic at the party in London.  Eventually the Treasury bubble will burst as capital continues moving into physical gold and silver; not paper apparitions like the problematic ETFs GLD and SLV.

THE G-20 CAN DO NOTHING PRODUCTIVE

The system, financial, economic, political and social does no collapse but evaporate.  The costumed criminal gangs are being increasingly viewed with less moral authority.  The derivative illusion is rapidly dissipating.  Capital is fleeing into safer more liquid assets and global trade is collapsing.  Political risk is increasing and parties break out everywhere.  But do not worry the G-20 has everything under control and everything will be fine.  April fools!

All the G-20 can do is attempt to pontificate a unified statement they will all give lip service to but in action be completely fractionated.  The scope of The Great Credit Contraction is simply too massive.  As Jim Sinclair said, “A very good, simple and clear representation of the problem lacking a practical solution.”

Disclosures:  Long real gold and silver with no position in Treasury bills, GLD, SLV, Irish debt and no party invitations.