I have long collaborated with Achim Zeileis, Ila Patnaik, Anmol Sethy and Vimal Balasubramaniam on testing, dating and monitoring of structural change of the de facto exchange rate regime. A few weeks ago, Anmol Sethy had done a talk about the ZSP methodology in Singapore. [...]

This piece was written before Christmas and will appear in the first 2010 edition of the Forex Journal. The data covers the market up until mid December.
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Old Maid is a card game where the simple task is to avoid holding a given card (often the queen of spades) at the end. Even in the company [...]

Last week was a good lesson in terms of what might, or what might not, happen when policy makers attempt to steer currency markets. Notwithstanding the obvious question of much how clout policy makers de-facto holds with respect to moving currency markets (not a lot I think), the outgoing finance minister in Japan Hirohisa Fujii [...]

Dani Rodrik wrote a nice article on the future prospects of China’s currency and its industrial policy (link).
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Under a floating exchange rate, firms have a correct estimate of how risky it is to have unhedged foreign currency exposure. When a central bank artificially distorts currency volatility downwards, as RBI has often done, this gives out the wrong incentives to take on foreign currency risk. Now firms in India are lobbying that they [...]