By B.P.T., on December 9th, 2011
At 8:30 AM Eastern time, the International Trade report for October will be released. The consensus is a deficit of $43.4 billion, which would be $0.3 billion more than the previous month.
At 9:55 AM Eastern time, Consumer Sentiment for the first half of December will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 66.0, which would be an increase of 1.9 points from the level reported in the second half of last month.
By B.P.T., on November 23rd, 2011
The Mortgage Bankers’ Association purchase index will be released at 7:00 AM Eastern time, providing an update on the quantity of new mortgages and refinancings closed in the last week.
At 8:30 AM Eastern time, the U.S. government will release its weekly Jobless Claims report. The consensus is that there were 390,000 new jobless claims last week, which would would be 2,000 more than the previous week.
Also at 8:30 AM Eastern time, the Durable Goods Orders report for October will be released. The consensus is that there was a decrease of 1.0% from September.
Also at 8:30 AM Eastern time, the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report for October will be released. The consensus for Personal Income is an increase of 0.3% over the previous month and the consensus Consumer Spending index change is an increase of 0.3%.
At 9:45 AM Eastern time, the weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index will be released, providing an update on Americans’ views of the U.S. economy, their personal finances and the buying climate.
At 9:55 AM Eastern time, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of November will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 64.6, which is 0.4 points higher than the value reported in the first half of the month.
At 10:30 AM Eastern time, the weekly Energy Information Administration Natural Gas Report will be released, giving an update on natural gas inventories in the United States.
At 11:00 AM Eastern time, the weekly Energy Information Administration Petroleum Status Report will be released, giving investors an update on oil inventories in the United States.
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By B.P.T., on November 11th, 2011
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the first half of November will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 61.5, which would be an increase of 0.6 points from the level reported in the second half of last month.
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By Eldon Mast, on October 31st, 2011

Last week stocks surged, extending the biggest monthly rally for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since 1974, and the euro strengthened as European leaders agreed to expand a bailout fund to stem the region’s debt crisis. The 20 percent monthly advance for the Dow Jones Transportation Average, a proxy for the economy, is the biggest since 1939. The S&P 500 rose to its highest level in almost three months and has rebounded 17 percent since Oct. 3.

In addition to remembering 1974, Economic growth strengthened in the third quarter and the component mix is more favorable than expected. GDP growth improved to a 2.5 percent annualized increase in the third quarter. The advance estimate matched market expectations for a 2.5 percent gain. (For once the majority was right!)
Optimism is clearly now appearing as the consumer sentiment index jumped to 60.9 compared to 57.5 at mid-month to imply a 64.3 level for the final two weeks of the month. The improvement the last two weeks is centered in the leading component of expectations which jumped 4.8 points to 51.8. The current conditions component also rose, up 1.3 points to 75.1. Inflation expectations show no change from mid-month, at 3.2 percent for the one-year outlook and 2.7 percent for the five-year.
And on the job front, initial jobless claims are holding steady in a narrow range just above 400,000. Claims came in at 402,000 in the October 22 week, a bit better than expectations. The four-week average of 405,500 is 10,000 below the month-ago period to point to continued improvement and a positive October employment report.

By B.P.T., on October 28th, 2011
At 8:30 AM EDT, the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report for September will be released. The consensus for Personal Income is an increase of 0.3% over the previous month and the consensus Consumer Spending index change is an increase of 0.3%.
Also at 8:30 AM EDT, the Employment Cost Index for the third quarter of 2011 will be released. The consensus is that the index increased 0.6% during the quarter.
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of October will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 58.0, which is 0.5 points higher than the value reported in the first half of the month.
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By B.P.T., on September 30th, 2011
At 8:30 AM EDT, the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report for August will be released. The consensus for Personal Income is an increase of 0.1% over the previous month and the consensus Consumer Spending index change is an increase of 0.2%.
At 9:45 AM EDT, the Chicago PMI Index for September will be announced. The consensus index value is 55.4, which is 1.1 points lower than last month, but is still above the break-even level at 50.
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of September will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 57.8, which is the same as the value reported in the first half of the month.
By B.P.T., on September 16th, 2011
At 9:00 AM EDT, the Treasury International Capital report for July will be released, showing the flow of capital in and out of the United States economy.
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the first half of September will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 56.0, which would be an increase of 0.3 points from the level reported in the second half of last month.
By B.P.T., on August 26th, 2011
At 8:30 AM EDT, the preliminary GDP report for the second quarter of 2011 will be announced. The consensus is an increase of 1.1% in real GDP and an increase of 2.3% in the GDP price index. The real GDP estimate is 0.2% lower than the advance value for the second quarter of 2011, and the GDP price index is the same.
Also at 8:30 AM EDT, the monthly Corporate Profits report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis will be released.
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of August will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 56.0, which is 1.1 points higher than the value reported in the first half of the month.
At 10:00 AM EDT, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak at the Kansas City Fed conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on the state of the economy.
By B.P.T., on August 12th, 2011
At 8:30 AM EDT, the Retail Sales report for July will be released. The consensus is that retail sales were 0.6% higher last month, after a 0.1% increase in the previous month.
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the first half of August will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 63.0, which would be a decrease of 0.7 points from the level reported in the second half of last month.
At 10:00 AM EDT, the Business Inventories report for June will be released. The consensus is that inventories increased 0.6% from the previous month.
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By B.P.T., on July 29th, 2011
At 8:30 AM EDT, the advance GDP report for the second quarter of 2011 will be announced. The consensus is an increase of 1.9% in real GDP and an increase of 2.0% in the GDP price index. The real GDP estimate is the same as the final value for the first quarter of 2011, and the GDP price index estimate is also the same.
Also at 8:30 AM EDT, the Employment Cost Index for the first quarter of 2011 will be announced.
At 9:45 AM EDT, the Chicago PMI Index for July will be announced. The consensus index value is 61.1, which is the same as last month, and is still well above the break-even level at 50.
At 9:55 AM EDT, Consumer Sentiment for the second half of July will be announced. The consensus is that the index will be at 64.0, which is 0.2 points higher than the value reported in the first half of the month.
At 3:00 PM EDT, the Farm Prices report for July will be released, giving investors and economists an indication of the direction of food prices in the coming months.
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