Prognostication

The news statewide is that the jobs count dropped and the unemployment rate ticked up in June, just as it did for the US as a whole.

To be the optimistic contrarian, I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that when we learn the comparable data for the Pittsburgh region in a little more than a week or so the jobs count will be up and the unemployment rate will drop.   What can we bet on that?

I am working on a predictive model of short term labor force changes in the region.  I should show more guts and put a more specific number on that prediction, but it isn’t quite ready yet.  Maybe soon.

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