My Young Padowan

According to Wikipedia “A Youngling that successfully completes their respective level of training undergoes Padawan apprentice training under the tutelage of a Jedi Knight or Jedi Master. In a rite of passage, Padawans must build their own lightsabers as a final test.”

While in Minnesota about six months ago I was approached about tutoring a high school senior with his thesis for an Advanced Placement class.  He desired to write his 10,000 word thesis on monetary policy and needed a mentor.  Usually the mentors had to be local so that the students could discuss the projects.  An exception was made and I found myself with a young Padawan, William Simpson.

After months of work and collaboration his paper was ready to be presented.  The thesis defense would be judged by six teachers and questions could be posed by the audience.  Mr. Simpson’s objective portion was delivered very well and I am slightly envious of not having his speech training by that age.  His thesis defense was even covered by the local newspaper.

But then came the persuasive portion of his defense where he laid out the case arguing in favor of a constitutional commodity monetary system, abolishment of the Federal Reserve and free banking.  He delivered it with great eloquence and many in the room began to see the power of his assertions as the cause of our current financial and economic problems.

Dr. Edwin Vieira, J.D. is the preeminent monetary jurisprudence scholar in the nation and author of the venerable treatise Pieces of Eight and I am one of his intellectual Padawans.  About 18 months ago I had breakfast with Dr. Vieira in Washington DC and then listened to his speech.  He made a statement with such power it has stuck with me to this day which I passed on to Mr. Simpson.

As Mr. Simpson came to the conclusion of his defense he masterfully delivered a line to his Keynesian economics teacher:  “Gold and silver are not mere barbaric commodities but essential checks and balances in America’s political machinery.” At that moment many in the crowd realized the role sound money plays.

Decades ago Ludwig von Mises wrote in The Theory of Money and Credit, “It is impossible to grasp the meaning of the idea of sound money if one does not realize that it was devised as an instrument for the protection of civil liberties against despotic inroads on the part of governments. Ideologically it belongs in the same class with political constitutions and bills of rights.”

This is because sound money protects against confiscation through inflation which is a form of taxation without representation or due process of law.  With the Federal Reserve engaged in quantitative easing is it any wonder that tea parties are springing up everywhere?  Here is a picture from a tea party I attended with William’s father on the way to their house from the airport.

After William’s presentation then it was time for questions and answers from his teachers and the crowd.  He deftly handled them all.  Then we returned to his home for some refreshments, socializing and tutelage by another monetary scholar, Wayne Paul the brother of Dr. Ron Paul.  Mr. Wayne Paul, a CPA, is involved in the Kahre case which I would recommend everyone to become familiar with as the issues square on the nature of America’s dual monetary system.

Gold loves the truth and fiat currency loves lies like mark to market accounting.  Indeed, ideas can only be overcome by other ideas while power and force are impotent against them.  During the darkest of nights Dr. Vieira has carried the torch and while gold’s monetary function and political role may be forgotten to the majority of humanity, which is the chief cause of the world becoming such a dangerous place, a young Padawan has been diligently fashioning and learning how to wield his lightsaber.  Truth will cleave its own way and the golden sun is rising in the east.

The Bloated Private Sector

The great insight of modern economics is the power of markets to align the interest of society and the individual. The idea that attending to your own affairs and following your passions is all that one must contribute to society is incredibly liberating. The market system has proven an incredibly powerful, efficient and innovate tool for distributing societies resources.

But it is time that we recognize that markets are not omniscient, they are merely a tool. The invisible hand does not free us from the obligation to actively create the society that we want. There are many well documented limitation to the power of markets. There is a vast array of goods and services that markets provide better and cheaper than any other system.

But there is an equally important set of goods that are incompatible with a market system. A healthy society must find a balance between the market economy and the need for public goods. Blind faith in the superiority of private investment over public investment has skewed this balance.

I was recently watching a Seinfeld rerun and it made me realize how rapidly technology has changed day to day life. The past 15 years has seen the near universal proliferation of the internet, cell phones and a host of other innovations that have fundamentally rearranged the way that people relate to their world. Yet the achievements of the technology sector underscore the societal failure in other areas.

Over the span of a generation we have built multiple nationwide cell phone networks yet allowed our transportation infrastructure disintegrate into the laughingstock of the developed world. While the internet blossomed into the greatest conduit of information in human history we have failed to provide a depressingly large percentage of our population with an adequate education. While drug makers have cured impotency and perfected the face transplant we have raised a generation of young people that is unlikely to outlive their parents.

The brightest minds of our generation have viewed trading derivatives on wall street or developing new gadgets in Silicon Valley as valuable contributions to economic growth. While government work has been the domain of the lazy or untalented. But in the enthusiasm for private investment the central signal of a capitalist economy has been ignored.

Prices are the brains of any market; by indicating what is needed price signals lead the way for investment. So what have prices been telling us? Over the past 15 years the profit margins of consumer goods from computers to clothing to fast food have been declining. At the same time public and semi-public goods have been kicking and screaming for more investment.  It is clear that the bloated private sector has been starving the public sector of essential resources.  Once we stop pretending that the private sector is morally superior to the public sector we will better be able to allocate resources between market goods and public goods.

Worst Market Day in Six Weeks

I know a lot of market participants have been looking for this break long before today. My sense has been that they are wrong and the market recovery in the six weeks through Friday can carry a long way, surprise everyone, and ruin the bears’ year as the prices will be set by investors looking beyond the current recession earnings trough. At the moment, I am holding on to that view. But I can be persuaded that I am wrong, and switch my position accordingly.

Recently I have had correspondence with Professor Christopher Mayer of Columbia Business School, regarding his Mayer-Hubbard Plan and my Household Initiative Plan. He says he has been in Washington lately and senses a real loss of momentum for all these plans. I think you can generalize that. There has been a loss of momentum for all the administration’s economic schemes as they have had other things on their plates such as foreign summitry, stem cells research, climate change, torture memos, and so on and so forth. Also, Congress has been on Easter recess. It may be a coincidence that the market took a swan dive on the day Congress returned and the administration held its first cabinet meeting. But on the other hand it may not — market participants have ample cause for concern about the administration of the TARP, the independence of the Federal Reserve, the possibility that Ben Bernanke is not reappointed, and the dawning realization of the scale and scope of the budget deficit to come. And with government back in full domestic operation, players may be pricing that in, and the previous six weeks could turn out to have been a pleasant holiday from hard reality.