Solving the Financial Crisis: An Academic Viewpoint

“Necessity is the mother of invention” says one old proverb. What better time than right now to think and plan for new, innovative approaches to problems facing all of us?

Unlike the various candidates trying to garner votes, I am neither a politician nor on a “do good” pedestal.

I am a trained, retired educator who spent the majority of my career teaching college economics. Fortunately, I was also able to consult to entrepreneurial ventures, helping start-ups to avoid the many pitfalls that cause some 90% of ideas to fail.

Among many others, the economic assumption of “maximization” was chief among them.

It is basically unheard of in the American context not to maximize anything, especially profits. The events of last week show graphically the dangers inherent in maximizing as major American institutions failed.

It may be highly idealistic to think that individuals, rather than the federal government, can make effective changes in the approach to American business.

“Satisfycing”

However, individuals are slowly warming to the principle (eloquently coined by Nobel recipient Herbert Simon in 1978) of “satisfycing” rather than “maximizing.” Based on Simon’s writings and lectures, “satisfycing” refers to a decision-making process that seeks a satisfactory answer rather than a maximized solution.

The question, of course, is a philosophical one. Conventional wisdom teaches that maximization is an overall goal of economics.

That was, of course, before the current domino in the financial crisis fell last week.

There are, however, proven positive and realistic applications of “satisfycing,” provided that the basic nature of mankind can be swayed.

One immediate, feasible example lies in the reclamation or restoration of what is less than euphemistically referred to as “slum housing.” Often, these blights of abandoned houses, lots overgrown with weeds and crime-riddled neighborhoods have arisen through economic or social dislocations. Many of those are directly attributable to maximization of profits at the expense of individuals’ livelihoods and their homes.

The reclamation of slum projects is not new.

The most famous and seminal experiment of slum neighborhood reclamation is perhaps Brooklyn’s Bedford-Stuyvesant section. The decline of the neighborhood can be traced to various business and social factors tracing back to the eras following World War II. It was not until the late Senators Robert F. Kennedy and Jacob Javits tackled the problem in 1967 through the formation of the non-profit Bedford-Stuyvesant Restoration Corporation.

However, it took much of the 40 years to succeed since Kennedy and Javits sowed the seeds of the reclamation of Bedford-Stuyvesant.

Despite massive injections of cash and substantial political influence, in the short run, Bedford-Stuyvesant struggled. For most of its 40-year history, slum conditions, including drugs, violence and a generally segregated character of the neighborhood, prevailed. Many critics proclaimed the social experiment a failure.

It was not until after the turn of this century that “gentrification” occurred in the area. Today, Bedford-Stuyvesant has become a thriving, multi-racial neighborhood of New York.

“Gentrification” carries with it its own set of social ills. It generally occurs when middle-class individuals move into a depressed area and displace poorer or racially diverse residents. The Haight-Ashbury area of San Francisco, the haven of hippiedom in the 1960s, was another World War II slum until the hippie movement and later the gay explosion in San Francisco resulted in “gentrification,” restoring it to a culturally diverse neighborhood.

Urban renewal across the nation had various positive and negative effects.

Success, however, took the major portion of half a century. Social criticisms range from big business profiteers, to failure to address the fundamental requirements of poverty, to environmental damage.

Greater immediate success could have been achieved had an understanding and acceptance of the concept of satisfycing, rather than maximizing, been prevalent in economics and business thinking. More importantly, reliance on the individual, rather than on the federal government’s forced income redistribution policies, could provide the necessary fuel to success.

The concept may be idealistic but is certainly not without precedent.

Habitat for Humanity

The “Fund for Humanity,” which achieved fame after former President Jimmy Carter’s involvement in 1984, spurred Habitat for Humanity to international fame. Founded in the 1940’s, the non-profit, non-governmental organization now exists in 90 countries. Branches exist in all of the 50 states of the United States. The organization builds new homes for needy individuals on a non-profit, no interest basis. The privately funded organization proudly points to its record of constructing more than 250,000 homes. It relies heavily on volunteers, together with individual emphasis on pride of home ownership coupled with an established work ethic.

While Habit for Humanity focuses on building new homes for needy families worldwide, a slow trend is emerging in slum reclamation using the various applications of the theory of “satisfycing.”

Individuals who share the philosophical perspective work with private community leaders to provide slum reclamation on a non-profit basis with zero or low interest rates, applying some of the ideas of Habit for Humanity.

Individual experiments are being conducted especially in towns and cities that have experienced lost jobs and economic dislocations before the current financial crisis. Abandoned homes quickly attract the various elements of slum creation.

The positive impact many of these individual experiments are making, however, is hardly headline-grabbing. Individual projects often require close, individual supervision. It may require three to five years for concrete effects to be realized in a particular neighborhood. That timeframe, however, is significantly less than the 30 or more years it took for Bedford-Stuyvesant and others to achieve success.

Moreover, this mode of reclamation of distressed communities does not have to carry with it the inherent pitfalls of social or environmental ills too often resulting from governmental projects.

The private, individual experiments have resulted in social improvement in the community, reduction in high crime areas and the creation of new jobs. Most of the new jobs created are in small business, creating both a new sense of independence and self-esteem to accompany the new status of home ownership.

Acceptance and exercise of the principle of “satisfycing” can result in upgraded and improved sections of the town or city with stable residents who were previously marginally or unemployed “slum residents.” Considerable social and community benefits can be obtained without the stigma of federal government “giveaway” programs at the expense of the taxpayer.

Prescient individuals not tied to conventional economic theories can both create substantial tax write-offs under the satisfycing principle, while creating social benefits directly in their community without a massive federal bureaucracy and the control it invariably entails. More importantly, it can restore the self-worth of individuals who may have been forced, through the effects of profit maximization, to live in less than desirable circumstances.

Outsourcing: How Much Is Too Much?

Let’s try and reason together on what offshoring is fundamentally doing to the economy. Economic situations are complex only because of the large number of factors that need to be taken into consideration for a given situation. However, the factors themselves are usually simple.

By taking a single factor and removing the rest, we can follow up on the effect and thus be able to understand the direction in which it takes us. Let us do this with offshoring. We will be touching on issues like the meaning of wealth to the printing of money. Keep in mind, that we aren’t professional economists. Just following up on some ideas that are interesting.

So what is offshoring? Offshoring, or outsourcing, means the taking of a job and giving it to someone else who is in another country. Obviously this person needs to be paid, albeit at a lower cost. Now an economy works by everyone contributing something. This means that the customer who is at a supermarket is actually serving someone else somewhere. So a customer in a grocery store can become the salesman in a shoe shop, and a teller in the grocery store will become the customer in a shoe shop.

OutsourcingImage Credit: re-ality

So all employees are customers for someone else. If there was just one big corporation in the whole country, then all the employees of that corporation would also have to be it’s customers. This is necessary for the circulation of money. The employees of this big corporation will buy goods from it with the same money that they receive in salaries from that very corporation. So it goes round and round.

In real life, there is more than one corporation, but the basic principle does not change. Money that is handed out as salaries is flushed back into companies that give out the salaries after passing through many hands. For example, a man gets paid to work in a grocery store. He uses the money to buy shoes and pays the owner of the shoe shop who then uses that money to buy groceries and pays the grocery store owner. What goes around comes around.

Now what happens in offshoring? I can see two interesting things happening. First of all, when you pay a person in another country, the person is not going to use that money to buy goods in your country. That money is gone forever from the economic system. Second, that person is going to spend money in her country that has not come from any business generated in that country.

Let us look at the first point. Since money has gone out of the system never to return, the total amount of money in the country has gone down. And since the total amount of money is finite, logically, this cannot continue forever unless new money comes in. Most of the time, offshoring is one way. That is, if one country offshores to another country for a cost advantage, then the offshoring country will not provide services back for the destination country because it is by definition more expensive. So the offshoring country only outsources and does not return the favor.

This means that the new money can only come from printing extra money. If this doesn’t happen, then the cost of goods in the offshoring country will fall because there is now less money chasing more goods. If this happens, then the cost advantage in offshoring will slowly be nullified! It makes your head spin.

Conversely, the cost of goods in the providing country will increase because there is more money chasing fewer goods since the goods or services are being exported out. This means that, due to inflation, the cost advantage of the providing country will be gradually reduced, and offshoring will become even less viable.

Where does this end? The only way to prevent this is for the offshoring country to print more money and thus keep the amount of money in circulation constant. But then this means money is being printed for the sole purpose of buying goods and services from outside. This will lead to disastrous consequences for the value of the currency.

Of course, this is just one extremely simplistic view. If we factor in the fact that the economies of both countries are growing, then it becomes a race to see which is more: the rate of offshoring or the growth of the economy? In other words, are you paying others more than you are earning yourself?

I hope you’ve enjoyed this discussion and will post your comments in order to give a better insight into the dynamics of this complex and exceedingly interesting issue.

Why Federal Home Loan Banks May Survive the Credit Crisis

In 1932, Congress created the Federal Home Loan Banks to prop up thrift institutions during the Great Depression. Today, there are 12 regional Federal Home Loan Banks. Their main business is low cost loans to their more than 8000 owners, which include commercial banks, thrifts, credit unions, and insurance companies. Like Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, they are also Government Sponsored Enterprises, entities owned by private shareholders but chartered by Congress to perform a public mission. This special status enables them to borrow inexpensively on the bond market. Because of their special status, investors assume that the federal government would bail them out of any crisis.

The 12 regional Federal Home Loan Banks are among the world’s largest borrowers. They have about $1.3 trillion of debt outstanding. Ever since they have taken on a bigger role in funding banks and thrifts, their debt has ballooned 34% since the end of 2006 mainly because the credit crisis dried up other sources of funds for banks and thrifts.

The present credit crisis has already compelled the federal government to take over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Many are now wondering if the federal government will eventually have to bail out the Federal Home Loan Banks as well. The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which overseas these home loan banks and acts as their regulator, is confident that the federal government will not have to step in.

Another worrying factor is that some shaky firms like IndyMac Bancorp, Inc., which was seized by regulators in July, also received advances from these home loan banks. But these advances are backed by collateral. When a bank fails, home loan banks have priority over other creditors, including the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Many experts have always criticized the concept of Government Sponsored Enterprise and called them flawed and unviable. The federal takeover of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have only strengthened this argument. Many are predicting that the Federal Home Loan Banks could be next. But it might just remain predictions.

Unlike Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the Federal Home Loan Banks have managed to remain profitable despite the present crisis. Their reported combined net income for the second quarter of the year is $718 million. This is a 14% increase from the figure for the same period last year.

But there are warning signs. One of them: the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago reported a loss of $152 million for the first half of the year. The loss was caused partly by hedging costs-related interest rate risks on mortgage investments. But the Chicago bank can take heart from the fact that another home loan bank – the Seattle Home Loan Bank – suffered a $9.1 million loss in the last quarter of 2005 but has since returned to the black. The loss in 2005 was also caused by mortgage investments.

These banks do not have publicly traded shares. Only the members or customers own shares in these banks, and these shares change hands only at face value.